Management of Nuclear Risk Issues: Environmental, Financial and Safety (NREFS)

核风险问题管理：环境、财务和安全 (NREFS)

• 批准号: EP/K007580/1
• 负责人: Philip Thomas
• 金额: $ 61.9万
• 依托单位: City, University of London
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2012
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2012 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FK007580%2F1
• 关键词: Management; Nuclear; Risk; Issues; Environmental

The NREFS research programme will use the extensive data on post-accident contamination and doses from the Chernobyl accident as a guide to its evaluation of mitigation options following a possible large-scale accident in the future. New data from Fukushima will be used as they are reported. Post-accident mitigation will then be considered in the four national contexts: Ukraine/Belarus, Japan, India and the UK using a variety of objective decision making techniques, including the new J-value technique, the JT-value method (both developed further under the EPSRC/ESRC SPRIng programme), real options and portfolio theory. Then scenario-based multi-criteria decision analysis will be used to investigate differences between recommendations from the objective methods and decisions being taken on the ground.Recommendations from the various methods will be discussed with the Indian partners, including the Chairman of the Atomic Energy Commission, who will provide a conduit for rapid implementation in the Indian nuclear industry of valuable new ideas as they arise from the research.Meanwhile the Parliamentary and Scientific Committee will be asked to consider running a briefing event for MPs and peers based on output from the NREFS project. This will offer a route to policy influence for valuable new research findings in the UK.

核可参考能源系统研究方案将利用切尔诺贝利事故的事故后污染和剂量的广泛数据，作为今后可能发生的大规模事故后评估各种缓解办法的指南。来自福岛的新数据将在报告时使用。然后，将在四个国家的背景下考虑事故后缓解：乌克兰/白俄罗斯、日本、印度和联合王国，使用各种客观决策技术，包括新的J值技术、JT值方法（两者都是在EPSRC/ESRC SPRIng方案下进一步开发的）、真实的期权和投资组合理论。然后，将使用基于原子能委员会的多标准决策分析，调查客观方法的建议与当地正在作出的决定之间的差异，并将与印度伙伴，包括原子能委员会主席，他将为印度核工业快速实施研究中产生的有价值的新想法提供渠道。同时，将要求科学委员会考虑根据NREFS项目的产出为议员和同行举办一次简报会。这将为英国有价值的新研究成果提供一条影响政策的途径。

项目成果

Predicting the cost of the consequences of a large nuclear accident in the UK

预测英国大型核事故后果的成本

• DOI: 10.1016/j.psep.2017.08.032
• 发表时间: 2017
• 期刊: Process Safety and Environmental Protection
• 影响因子: 7.8
• 作者: Ashley S

Assessment of the response of pollinator abundance to environmental pressures using structured expert elicitation

• DOI: 10.1080/00218839.2018.1494891
• 发表时间: 2018-10-20
• 期刊: JOURNAL OF APICULTURAL RESEARCH
• 影响因子: 1.9
• 作者: Barons, Martine J.;Hanea, Anca M.;Carreck, Norman L.
• 通讯作者: Carreck, Norman L.

Measuring gross disproportion in environmental precaution to establish regulatory expropriation and quantum of compensation in international investment arbitration

衡量环境预防措施中的严重失衡，以确定国际投资仲裁中的监管征用和赔偿数额

• DOI: 10.1007/s10657-014-9433-4
• 发表时间: 2014
• 期刊: European Journal of Law and Economics
• 影响因子: 1.3
• 作者: Collins D

Nuclear emergency decision support: A behavioural OR perspective

• DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.059
• 发表时间: 2017-10
• 期刊: Eur. J. Oper. Res.
• 作者: N. Argyris;S. French

Strategic real option and flexibility analysis for nuclear power plants considering uncertainty in electricity demand and public acceptance

• DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.03.023
• 发表时间: 2017-05
• 期刊: Energy Economics
• 影响因子: 12.8
• 作者: Michel-Alexandre Cardin;Sizhe Zhang;W. Nuttall