Water Energy Food: Vaccinating the Nexus

水能源食品：为 Nexus 接种疫苗

• 批准号: EP/N005961/1
• 负责人: Paul Kemp
• 金额: $ 201.5万
• 依托单位: University of Southampton
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2015
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2015 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FN005961%2F1
• 关键词: Water; Energy; Food; Vaccinating; Nexus

The demand for water, energy, and food (WEF) is increasing with a growing population and a larger proportion of people living high hydrocarbon dependent lifestyles. This is placing unprecedented pressure on global WEF resources, a situation that will be exacerbated with a shifting climate. To meet this demand and to ensure long-term WEF security there is a need for integrated, efficient, and sustainable resources management across the sectors. This is essential to enhance and maintain quality of life, and requires the overall system to adapt over appropriate timescales. Analogous to the human immune system, resilience can be enhanced by learning from shocks to the WEF nexus that lead to recovery and adaptation through improving the systems long-term memory. Through shocks to the system (vaccination in this analogy), society is provided the opportunity to improve resilience and sustainable management of the WEF sectors. In this context, shocks are represented by: 1) historic events, 2) controlled experimental manipulation, and 3) defined inputs to models. This project will identify the interconnections between Water Energy and Food (WEF) through the development of an integrated framework and will reveal the vulnerabilities in the system and the diverse connections between the three facets of the nexus. The project consists of three work packages (WPs) that cover a diverse array of scenarios for both aquatic and terrestrial systems integrated with a social science and economic modelling. In WP1 the response of aquatic food organisms to the shock of delivering the water and energy infrastructure plan will be investigated, culminating in the development of planning decision support tools based on integrated hydrodynamic and agent based models. WP2 will take an experimental, field based, and modelling approach to investigate the response of agriculture (focusing on soils and crops) to flooding under alternative climate change scenarios and based on historic data. The social aspects of shifting agricultural regimes, e.g. greater use of bioenergy crops in areas liable to flooding, will be investigated and quantified. WP3 will provide the social and economic modelling that will gather and analyse data obtained from the case studies and provide feedback to improve the models. Further, WP3 will investigate potential barriers to dissemination and uptake of the results within institutions and by end users that may benefit with the view to develop approaches that ameliorate for this. This work package is also dedicated to ensuring delivery of impact which will be enabled through close collaboration with several non-academic partners including industry. Delivery of the project will be managed by a team with diverse interdisciplinary expertise (including engineers, ecologists, agriculturalists, mathematicians, and social scientists) from the Universities of Southampton, Bath, London, Nottingham, Aberystwyth University, Loughborough University, University College London, HR Wallingford, and supported by the Science and Technology Facilities Council. The team has a proven track record in project management, and strong links to industrial partners and other end users. The project will benefit industry, regulators, government, academia and the general public. The findings will be disseminated to: the academic community through publication of high impact research articles; the public through engagement via national and local media and internet and social networking platforms, and a structured Outreach programme involving schools and local science exhibitions; government through political outreach; and key stakeholders via relevant publications and participation in steering group workshops. The outputs will enable regulators to improve guidelines and to streamline the decision making processes for the benefit of industry and the nation as a whole.

随着人口的增长以及越来越多的人过着高度依赖碳氢化合物的生活方式，对水、能源和食品 (WEF) 的需求不断增加。这给全球世界经济论坛的资源带来了前所未有的压力，这种情况将随着气候变化而加剧。为了满足这一需求并确保世界经济论坛的长期安全，需要跨部门进行综合、高效和可持续的资源管理。这对于提高和维持生活质量至关重要，并且需要整个系统在适当的时间范围内进行调整。与人类免疫系统类似，可以通过从 WEF 关系的冲击中学习来增强复原力，从而通过改善系统的长期记忆来实现恢复和适应。通过对系统的冲击（类比为疫苗接种），社会有机会提高世界经济论坛部门的复原力和可持续管理。在这种情况下，冲击由以下内容表示：1）历史事件，2）受控实验操作，3）定义的模型输入。该项目将通过开发综合框架来确定水、能源和食品（WEF）之间的相互联系，并将揭示系统中的脆弱性以及这种关系的三个方面之间的多样化联系。该项目由三个工作包（WP）组成，涵盖了与社会科学和经济模型相结合的水生和陆地系统的各种场景。在 WP1 中，将研究水生食物生物对实施水和能源基础设施计划的冲击的响应，最终开发基于综合水动力和代理模型的规划决策支持工具。 WP2 将采用基于实地的实验和建模方法，根据历史数据，研究替代气候变化情景下农业（重点关注土壤和农作物）对洪水的反应。农业制度转变的社会方面，例如将调查和量化在易发生洪水的地区更多地使用生物能源作物的情况。 WP3 将提供社会和经济模型，收集和分析从案例研究中获得的数据，并提供反馈以改进模型。此外，WP3 将调查机构内和可能受益的最终用户传播和采用结果的潜在障碍，以期开发改善这一点的方法。该工作包还致力于确保通过与包括工业界在内的多个非学术合作伙伴的密切合作来实现影响力。该项目的交付将由来自南安普顿大学、巴​​斯大学、伦敦大学、诺丁汉大学、阿伯里斯特威斯大学、拉夫堡大学、伦敦大学学院、HR Wallingford 的具有不同跨学科专业知识的团队（包括工程师、生态学家、农业学家、数学家和社会科学家）管理，并得到科学技术设施委员会的支持。该团队在项目管理方面拥有良好的业绩记录，并与工业合作伙伴和其他最终用户有着密切的联系。该项目将使行业、监管机构、政府、学术界和公众受益。研究结果将通过发表高影响力的研究文章传播给学术界；通过国家和地方媒体、互联网和社交网络平台的参与以及涉及学校和地方科学展览的结构化外展计划来吸引公众；政府通过政治外展；通过相关出版物和参加指导小组研讨会向主要利益相关者传达信息。这些成果将使监管机构能够改进指导方针并简化决策流程，以造福整个行业和国家。

项目成果

Agent-based modelling of juvenile eel migration via selective tidal stream transport

基于代理的幼鳗通过选择性潮汐流运输迁移的建模

• DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109448
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Ecological Modelling
• 影响因子: 3.1
• 作者: Benson T

Exorcising Malthusian ghosts: Vaccinating the Nexus to advance integrated water, energy and food resource resilience

• DOI: 10.1016/j.crsust.2021.100108
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Current Research in Environmental Sustainability
• 影响因子: 4.4
• 作者: P. Kemp;M. Acuto;S. Larcom;D. Lumbroso;M. Owen

Tacit networks, crucial care: Informal networks and disaster response in Nepal's 2015 Gorkha earthquake

• DOI: 10.1177/0042098018810606
• 发表时间: 2019-02-01
• 期刊: URBAN STUDIES
• 影响因子: 4.7
• 作者: Carrero, Rocio;Acuto, Michele;To, Long Seng
• 通讯作者: To, Long Seng

A new carbohydrate retaining variety of Miscanthus increases biogas methane yields compared to M x giganteus and narrows the yield advantage of maize

• DOI: 10.1002/fes3.224
• 发表时间: 2020-07-06
• 期刊: FOOD AND ENERGY SECURITY
• 影响因子: 5
• 作者: Kam, Jason;Thomas, David;Purdy, Sarah J.
• 通讯作者: Purdy, Sarah J.

Transcending (in)formal urbanism

超越（非）正式城市化

• DOI: 10.1177/0042098018810602
• 发表时间: 2019
• 期刊: Urban Studies
• 影响因子: 4.7
• 作者: Acuto M