Energy Revolution Research Consortium - Plus - EnergyREV - Next Wave of Local Energy Systems in a Whole Systems Context

能源革命研究联盟 - Plus - EnergyREV - 整个系统背景下的下一波本地能源系统

• 批准号: EP/S031898/1
• 负责人: Stephen McArthur
• 金额: $ 124.65万
• 依托单位: University of Strathclyde
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2019 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FS031898%2F1
• 关键词: Energy; Revolution; Research; Consortium; Plus

A key potential pillar of the energy revolution - and one of the most uncertain in its technological configuration, economic impact, societal trade-offs and regulatory control - is the growth of local energy systems (LES) based on new business models, new relationships between consumers and their energy supply and greater integration across heat, gas, electricity and transport infrastructures. A LES is locality where energy resources (such as solar thermal or photovoltaic panels, combined heat and power plant, energy storage) are managed to provide a high proportion of the needs of local users across heating/cooling, vehicle charging and electrical power. It is envisaged that demand for energy can also be managed to some extent to ease the burden of balancing supply and demand but that energy flows to/from a national system are required at times.The UK government's Industrial Strategy focus on Prospering from the Energy Revolution, and the resultant ERRC EnergyRev Core consortium is designed to understand and ensure maximum benefits from the opportunism of LES. * The successful scale-up of LES rests upon anticipating and resolving a multi-criteria set of tensions in a whole systems context:* The scale-up of LES depends on infrastructures, generation plant, capital flows or environmental impacts that are external to the spatial boundaries of the LES * The scale-up of LES results in key vulnerabilities at peak times, at geographical bottlenecks or on the capabilities of market actors * The scale-up of LES is path dependent with near-term decisions having a structural impact on long-term energy system configurations * The scale-up of LES exhibits emergent properties from societal uptake and unintended consequences in a systems context, acknowledging the multiple influences on end-users and their decisions This ERRC Plus project is targeted at understanding and quantifying these systems impacts - spatially, temporally and across agents - of widespread LES scale-up and evolution of successful new energy demonstrators and business models. In this way it builds out the whole energy systems depth of the ERRC Energy Rev Core consortium.The long-term evolution of energy systems is set by the actions of many parties under the influence of local and national government policies, support mechanisms and the energy market as a whole. The extent to which this evolving energy system meets the needs of the nation for secure, affordable and sustainable energy is crucial but challenging to foresee. This project aims to evaluate how the system might evolve for the particular case of promotion of LES. Our vision is to create a set of interacting models of the economy, energy technologies and human behaviour and interlink them. The four university research groups who come together in this project have UK leading modelling teams in interdisciplinary whole systems analysis. The project will leverage the evaluation of demonstrator projects undertaken in the Core section of the EnergyRev consortium, and by the broader evaluation of industrial strategy, health benefits and community cohesion of LES. Its focus will then be on investments and innovation in key technologies, the interactions and pressures placed on national gas, electricity and transport infrastructures, representing and exploring how people adopt new technologies (such as home automation apps or electric vehicles), and required institutional and regulatory change to understand how - under widespread growth of smart LES - the energy system as a whole will function.We will then create detailed and specific evidence that policy makers in local and national governments and decision makers in energy companies can use to plot a course to exploit the opportunities of the LES energy revolution. This includes state-of-the-art open access models, high profile workshops, targeted policy briefs and bi-directional online engagement routes.

能源革命的一个关键潜在支柱——也是其技术配置、经济影响、社会权衡和监管控制方面最不确定的支柱之一——是基于新的商业模式、消费者与其能源供应之间的新关系以及热、气、电和运输基础设施之间更大一体化的地方能源系统（LES）的增长。LES是指能源资源（如太阳能热或光伏板、热电联产电厂、储能）能够满足当地用户在供暖/制冷、车辆充电和电力方面的大部分需求的地方。预计对能源的需求也可以在某种程度上加以管理，以减轻平衡供需的负担，但有时需要能源流入/流出一个国家系统。英国政府的工业战略侧重于从能源革命中繁荣发展，由此产生的ERRC EnergyRev Core联盟旨在理解并确保从LES的机会主义中获得最大利益。*可再生能源系统的成功扩大取决于对整个系统环境中多标准紧张关系的预测和解决：*可再生能源系统的扩大取决于基础设施、发电厂、资本流动或环境影响，这些都是可再生能源系统空间边界之外的因素*可再生能源系统的扩大会导致高峰时段的关键脆弱性。* LES的扩大是路径依赖于对长期能源系统配置产生结构性影响的近期决策* LES的扩大显示了社会吸收和系统环境中意外后果的紧急属性，承认对最终用户及其决策的多重影响。ERRC Plus项目旨在理解和量化这些系统影响-空间上，短期内和跨代理——广泛的LES规模扩大和成功的新能源示范和商业模式的演变。通过这种方式，它建立了ERRC能源Rev核心联盟的整个能源系统深度。能源系统的长期演变是在地方和国家政府政策、支持机制和整个能源市场的影响下，由多方的行动决定的。这种不断发展的能源系统在多大程度上满足了国家对安全、负担得起和可持续能源的需求，这是至关重要的，但很难预测。本项目旨在评估该系统如何为促进LES的特殊情况而发展。我们的愿景是创建一套经济、能源技术和人类行为的相互作用模型，并将它们相互联系起来。在这个项目中聚集在一起的四个大学研究小组在跨学科整体系统分析方面拥有英国领先的建模团队。该项目将利用对EnergyRev联盟核心部分开展的示范项目的评价，以及对低碳能源的工业战略、保健效益和社区凝聚力的更广泛评价。它的重点将是关键技术的投资和创新，国家天然气、电力和交通基础设施的相互作用和压力，代表和探索人们如何采用新技术（如家庭自动化应用程序或电动汽车），以及需要的制度和监管变革，以了解在智能LES的广泛增长下，整个能源系统将如何运作。然后，我们将创建详细和具体的证据，地方和国家政府的政策制定者以及能源公司的决策者可以利用这些证据来规划路线，以利用LES能源革命的机会。这包括最先进的开放获取模式、高知名度的研讨会、有针对性的政策简报和双向在线参与途径。

项目成果

The impact of heterogeneous market players with bounded-rationality on the electricity sector low-carbon transition

有限理性异质市场主体对电力行业低碳转型的影响

• DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111274
• 发表时间: 2020
• 期刊: Energy Policy
• 影响因子: 9
• 作者: Barazza E

The key role of historic path-dependency and competitor imitation on the electricity sector low-carbon transition

历史路径依赖和竞争对手模仿对电力行业低碳转型的关键作用

• DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2020.100588
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Energy Strategy Reviews
• 影响因子: 8.2
• 作者: Barazza E

Early insights into the non optimal investment outcomes in the scale-up of smart local energy systems

对扩大智能本地能源系统非最佳投资结果的早期洞察

• 发表时间: 2020
• 作者: Li P

Local conditions associated with local energy system projects

与当地能源系统项目相关的当地条件

• 发表时间: 2021
• 作者: Arvanitopoulos T

Incorporating novel renewable energy cooperatives to scale-up smart local energy systems for UK's net zero future

整合新型可再生能源合作社，扩大智能本地能源系统，实现英国的净零未来

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Li P