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Urgent invite - Public perceptions of climate change in the immediate aftermath of major national flooding

紧急邀请 - 全国重大洪水过后公众对气候变化的看法

基本信息

批准号：
ES/M005135/1
负责人：
Nicholas Pidgeon
金额：
$ 23.12万
依托单位：
CARDIFF UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2014
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2014 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FM005135%2F1
关键词：
Urgent invite Public perceptions climate

项目摘要

Public understanding of climate change is a topic of interest to many social scientists. In part, this is because people's views on climate change tend to influence their attitudes to national policy (e.g. reducing emissions) and personal actions (e.g. reducing one's own impact on the environment). The proposed research considers the role of extreme weather as a critical influence on people's understanding of climate change. Although a number of studies have looked at how wider meteorological conditions (e.g. day-to-day temperature) can affect people's views on climate change, there is little research that examines the role of extraordinary or extreme weather events in affecting public opinion. We are interested in this topic because there is reason to believe that extreme weather events may have a particularly pronounced effect on people's attitudes. We also see this focus as relevant because climate change is itself predicted to lead to more frequent and severe extreme weather around the world, including increased incidence of floods across the UK. Our research is designed to examine people's perceptions of climate change shortly after the occurrence of major national flooding in parts of the UK in early 2014. We propose carrying out a large survey across Great Britain through which we can measure people's views about the flooding and about climate change, and how these are connected. The proposed survey will be different to previous studies in several ways. First, we aim to collect data not only nationally, but also to pay particularly close attention to areas that were directly affected by the 2014 flooding. This will enable us to compare affected regions with national data. For example, if people in flood-affected areas are more worried about climate change than the national sample, this might suggest that personal experience has had an effect on beliefs about climate change. Second, the proposed survey will look more closely at a number of psychological factors which have been identified as important in shaping people's views. These include the role of emotional responses (e.g. anger about the flooding), cognitive variables (e.g. what people believe are the underlying causes of the flooding), how 'distant' people feel from climate change as an issue, how much risk people perceive from climate change and flooding, and people's underlying values. Third, the survey is designed to be run close in time to the flooding events (which is why we are seeking 'urgent' funding).Exploring these questions is important for theory in terms of our understanding of how beliefs about climate change are shaped. It is also important for developing strategies for engaging members of the public in addressing the causes of climate change, and for responding to climate impacts. We hope to contribute to the development of more effective climate science communication in ways that take account of the complex linkages between extreme weather and climate change. The findings are expected to be of interest to a diverse range of stakeholders from the public, private and third sectors; representatives from these sectors will be engaged through an advisory panel (including providing advice on the design of the survey) and other activities to make the research findings widely available. We will launch a report of our findings in late Autumn 2014. In addition we will hold a specific workshop for those interested in communicating climate change, and write and disseminate a series of academic papers.

公众对气候变化的理解是许多社会科学家感兴趣的话题。部分原因是，人们对气候变化的看法往往会影响他们对国家政策（如减少排放）和个人行动（如减少自己对环境的影响）的态度。拟议中的研究认为，极端天气的作用是对人们理解气候变化的关键影响。虽然一些研究已经研究了更广泛的气象条件（例如日常温度）如何影响人们对气候变化的看法，但很少有研究探讨异常或极端天气事件在影响公众舆论方面的作用。我们之所以对这个话题感兴趣，是因为有理由相信，极端天气事件可能对人们的态度产生特别明显的影响。我们也认为这一重点是相关的，因为气候变化本身预计将导致世界各地更频繁和更严重的极端天气，包括英国各地洪水发生率的增加。我们的研究旨在检查人们对气候变化的看法后不久发生的重大全国性洪水在英国部分地区在2014年初。我们建议在英国进行一项大规模调查，通过这项调查，我们可以衡量人们对洪水和气候变化的看法，以及这些是如何联系在一起的。拟议的调查将在几个方面不同于以往的研究。首先，我们的目标不仅是在全国范围内收集数据，而且还要特别密切关注直接受到2014年洪水影响的地区。这将使我们能够将受影响地区与国家数据进行比较。例如，如果受洪水影响地区的人们比全国样本更担心气候变化，这可能表明个人经历对气候变化的信念产生了影响。第二，建议的调查会更深入研究多项已被确定为影响市民看法的重要心理因素。这些因素包括情绪反应的作用（例如对洪水的愤怒），认知变量（例如人们认为洪水的根本原因），人们对气候变化作为一个问题的感觉有多“遥远”，人们对气候变化和洪水的风险有多大，以及人们的潜在价值观。第三，调查的设计是在洪水事件发生后进行的（这就是我们寻求“紧急”资金的原因）。探索这些问题对于我们理解气候变化的信念是如何形成的理论很重要。对于制定战略，让公众参与解决气候变化的原因和应对气候影响也很重要。我们希望以考虑到极端天气与气候变化之间复杂联系的方式，为发展更有效的气候科学传播做出贡献。预计来自公共、私营和第三部门的各种利益攸关方都会对调查结果感兴趣;这些部门的代表将通过一个咨询小组（包括就调查设计提供咨询意见）和其他活动参与进来，以广泛传播研究结果。我们将在2014年秋季晚些时候发布一份调查结果报告。此外，我们将为那些对气候变化感兴趣的人举办一个专门的研讨会，并撰写和传播一系列学术论文。