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Going Global? Firms, Trade and Productivity After Brexit

走向全球？

基本信息

批准号：
ES/V004514/1
负责人：
Thomas Sampson
金额：
$ 77.17万
依托单位：
London School of Economics and Political Science
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2021
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2021 至无数据
项目状态：
未结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FV004514%2F1
关键词：
Going Global Firms Trade Productivity

项目摘要

Brexit is the biggest change to the UK's external relations for at least a generation. Leaving the EU will lead to the introduction of new barriers to trade between the UK and the EU, while also creating opportunities for the UK to develop its own independent trade policy. This project studies the impact of Brexit on the UK's trade and economic performance. The analysis will consider how the UK economy is changing in response to Brexit and will provide estimates of the effect of Brexit on productivity, trade, output, wages and living standards.A key contribution of the research will be the creation of a new dataset matching trade and production data at the firm level. Using this dataset, the project will analyse which firms, workers, regions and industries are most exposed to Brexit, how Brexit affects firms' participation in the global economy, whether COVID-19 alters how firms respond to Brexit and how changes in trade impact firm performance and productivity. The project will also develop a trade model of the UK economy to quantify the aggregate economic consequences of Brexit and evaluate alternative post-Brexit trade policies. The project's findings will help policy makers and the general public understand the economic consequences of Brexit and will inform debate on UK trade and economic policy after Brexit. For example, the project will shed light on the costs and benefits of alternative trade agreements with the EU and other partners; what types of trade barriers are most important for UK firms, and; how the effects of Brexit differ across workers, firms, regions and industries.

英国脱欧是至少一代人以来英国对外关系的最大变化。脱欧将导致英国与欧盟之间引入新的贸易壁垒，同时也为英国制定自己的独立贸易政策创造机会。该项目研究英国脱欧对英国贸易和经济表现的影响。该分析将考虑英国经济如何因脱欧而发生变化，并将提供脱欧对生产力、贸易、产出、工资和生活水平影响的估计。该研究的一个关键贡献将是创建一个与企业层面的贸易和生产数据相匹配的新数据集。该项目将利用该数据集分析哪些企业、工人、地区和行业最容易受到英国脱欧的影响，英国脱欧如何影响企业参与全球经济，COVID-19是否会改变企业应对英国脱欧的方式，以及贸易变化如何影响企业绩效和生产力。该项目还将开发英国经济的贸易模型，以量化英国退欧的总体经济后果，并评估英国退欧后的替代贸易政策。该项目的研究结果将帮助政策制定者和公众了解英国脱欧的经济后果，并将为英国脱欧后英国贸易和经济政策的辩论提供信息。例如，该项目将揭示与欧盟和其他伙伴的替代贸易协定的成本和收益；哪些类型的贸易壁垒对英国公司最重要；以及；英国脱欧对工人、公司、地区和行业的影响有何不同。