权益分类	功能权益	普通用户	{{item.name}}会员
{{category.name}}	{{benefitItem.name}}

The Real-Time Economic Effects of Covid-19 in the United Kingdom

Covid-19 对英国的实时经济影响

基本信息

批准号：
ES/V007270/1
负责人：
Swati Dhingra
金额：
$ 20.45万
依托单位：
London School of Economics and Political Science
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2020
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2020 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FV007270%2F1
关键词：
Real Time Economic Effects Covid

项目摘要

This project will examine the microeconomic impacts of the Covid pandemic and lockdown on UK businesses and its interaction with the UK's decision to leave the European Union. The project will deliver two key outputs, which are fundamental to designing and monitoring appropriate policies to mitigate the negative economic impacts of Covid. A first key output will be to provide real-time monthly summaries of the impacts of Covid on UK businesses and their expectations of business and employment outcomes for the coming months. This will use confidential information from firm-level surveys conducted by the Confederation of Business Industry (CBI), made available to us through a special agreement between CBI and the Centre for Economic Performance. The data are unique in providing rich, real-time, firm-level information on current trends and expectations. The surveyed firms have a broad coverage of sectors and regions and our previous work shows that they can deliver nationally representative economic analysis. Supplementing CBI survey data with firm and industry characteristics from ONS and company accounts, a second key output of the project will examine the channels through which businesses are being affected by Covid, such as demand, supply chains, and finance, and the interaction (if any) between these impacts and the effects of Brexit. The project will identify the heterogeneity of impacts by firm-size, sector, and region, and the evolution of business activity as the economy recovers and the UK leaves the EU. The granular findings will help design detailed policy responses.

该项目将研究新型冠状病毒大流行和封锁对英国企业的微观经济影响，以及其与英国决定离开欧盟的相互作用。该项目将提供两项关键产出，这两项产出对于设计和监测适当政策以减轻新型冠状病毒的负面经济影响至关重要。第一个关键产出将是提供新冠肺炎对英国企业影响的实时月度摘要，以及他们对未来几个月业务和就业结果的预期。这将使用来自商业工业联合会（CBI）进行的公司级调查的机密信息，这些信息是通过CBI和经济绩效中心之间的特别协议提供给我们的。这些数据在提供有关当前趋势和预期的丰富、实时、公司一级的信息方面是独一无二的。被调查的公司覆盖了广泛的行业和地区，我们以前的工作表明，他们可以提供具有全国代表性的经济分析。该项目的第二个关键成果是用来自ONS和公司账户的公司和行业特征补充CBI调查数据，研究企业受到新冠肺炎影响的渠道，如需求、供应链和金融，以及这些影响与英国退欧影响之间的相互作用（如果有的话）。该项目将确定企业规模，部门和地区的影响的异质性，以及随着经济复苏和英国离开欧盟而发生的商业活动的演变。详细的调查结果将有助于设计详细的政策应对措施。