Decision Maker Panel

决策者小组

• 批准号: ES/X013707/1
• 负责人: Paul Mizen
• 金额: $ 186.33万
• 依托单位: University of Nottingham
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FX013707%2F1
• 关键词: Decision; Maker; Panel

The proposal draws on work to better understand conditions facing British businesses by the universities of Nottingham and Stanford, who established the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) in partnership with the Bank of England (Bank) in 2016. This was funded by the ESRC through standard grants from 2017 - 2022 and it is recognized within HM Government as essential data infrastructure. To date, DMP has been essential to gaining a better understanding of the effects of Brexit, Covid and the Ukraine war during a period of enormous economic, geo-political and social change, delivering actionable insights for policymakers at the highest levels of government. It has delivered policy-focused research that is an essential resource for the Bank of England, HM Treasury, 10 Downing St and the Cabinet Office, Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) since 2016. It has received the ESRC Celebrating Impact Prize (second prize) 2021, it was described by the Deputy National Statistician as 'a game changer for business surveys', and 'world leading' 4* impact case study by REF2021. The ability to maintain a large, representative survey of senior business executives and to address the impacts and longer term effects of economic disruptions has made it vital infrastructure for policy. It maintains a corpus of questions that provide longitudinal quantitative information on business conditions, expectations and uncertainty and has the flexibility to adapt survey questions to new conditions as they emerge e.g. during Covid. The DMP has developed into a strategic data asset that we have made accessible to researchers beyond the core DMP team. In this proposal we will i) gather data from key decision makers in business; ii) provide a delivery plan to analyze the data for actionable insights; and iii) make the data available to other researchers. We will build capacity in survey data collection and analysis that sustains and expands economic and societal impact. The grant will support ongoing data collection of DMP data making it:> One of the largest business surveys in the UK, which is maintained by minimizing attrition and continuously recruiting new firms.> A regular source of information to businesses, journalists and academics through monthly letters sent to all the participants and the website www.decisionmakerpanel.co.uk> An essential input to Bank of England Policy Committees (MPC, FPC), HM Treasury, BEIS and OBR drawing on DMP research analysis to support the actions and communication of policyThe research we undertake will address six vital questions:1. What are the effects of Brexit on employment, investment, R&D, productivity growth, trade, prices, and wages of UK firms?2. What are the uncertainty impacts of the COVID pandemic on firms?3. How will firms respond to the resurgence of inflation? 4. How will investment growth policies announced in several Budgets and fiscal statements incentivize UK firms? 5. What effects will climate change make to firm investment and risk exposure?6. What effect does CEO leadership have on performance? We draw on a highly-experienced established team of international researchers that have created a 'world-leading' survey to address We draw on a highly-experienced established team of international researchers that have created 'world-leading' surveys to address similar policy related research since 2016 in collaboration with the Bank of England, HM Government and the Office for National Statistics. Drawing on senior academics from Nottingham and Stanford we offer benefits to academics and users of the research through academic papers in top five economics journals, blogs, podcasts and media outputs, impact for policy making. We will create a publicly accessible dataset and build capacity in survey design and analysis by training a new cohort of early career researchers, giving them opportunities for secondment and career advancement.

该提案借鉴了诺丁汉和斯坦福大学的英国企业面临的状况的工作，他们于2016年与英格兰银行（银行）合作建立了决策者小组（DMP）。这是由ESRC通过2017年至2022年的标准赠款资助的，并在HM政府中认可了HM InfrapraStruse InfraStruse。迄今为止，DMP对于在巨大的经济，地理政治和社会变革的时期中更好地了解英国脱欧，联盟和乌克兰战争的影响至关重要，从而为政府最高级别的政策制定者提供了可行的见解。它提供了以政策为中心的研究，这是英格兰银行，HM财政部，10唐宁街和内阁办公室，国家统计局（ONS）和预算责任办公室（OBR）和内阁办公室（OBR）（自2016年以来）。它已经获得了ESRC庆祝Impact Privation Impact Prining（二等奖）2021年，该案例由国家统计学统计学的案例列为“副案例”。 Ref2021。维持高级业务高管的大型代表性调查并解决经济中断的影响和长期影响的能力使其对政策的重要基础设施至关重要。它保留了一系列问题，这些问题提供了有关业务状况，期望和不确定性的纵向定量信息，并具有将调查问题适应新条件时的灵活性，例如期间。 DMP已发展为一项战略数据资产，我们已使DMP团队以外的研究人员可以访问该资产。在此提案中，我们将i）收集业务中关键决策者的数据； ii）提供了分析数据的交付计划，以获得可行的见解； iii）将数据提供给其他研究人员。我们将在调查数据收集和分析中建立能力，从而维持和扩大经济和社会影响。该赠款将支持DMP数据的持续数据收集：>英国最大的业务调查之一，通过最小化损耗并不断招募新公司来维护。>通过发送给所有参与者和网站www.decisionmakerpanel.uk的企业，新闻工作者和学者的常规信息来源。 FPC），HM国库，BEIS和OBR借助DMP研究分析，以支持我们进行的政策的行动和交流，我们进行的研究将解决六个重要问题：1。英国脱欧对英国公司的就业，投资，研发，生产率增长，贸易，价格和工资有什么影响？2。共证大流行对企业的不确定性影响是什么？3。公司将如何应对通货膨胀的复兴？ 4。在几项预算和财政报表中宣布投资增长政策将如何激励英国公司？ 5。气候变化会对公司投资和风险敞口产生什么影响？6。首席执行官领导对绩效有什么影响？我们借鉴了一支拥有高度经验丰富的国际研究人员团队，他们创建了一项“世界领先”调查，以解决我们借鉴了一支经验丰富的国际研究人员团队，这些团队已经创建了“世界领先”调查，以解决自2016年以来与英格兰银行，HM政府，HM政府和国家统计局合作的类似政策相关研究。利用诺丁汉和斯坦福大学的高级学者，我们通过在五个经济学期刊，博客，播客和媒体输出中的学术论文为研究的学者和研究用户提供好处。我们将通过培训新的早期职业研究人员群体来创建一个可公开访问的数据集，并在调查设计和分析中建立能力，从而为他们提供借调和职业发展的机会。

项目成果

Firm Inflation Uncertainty

通胀的不确定性

• DOI: 10.3386/w31300
• 作者: Yotzov I