Decision Maker Panel

决策者小组

• 批准号: ES/X013707/2
• 负责人: Paul Mizen
• 金额: $ 170.74万
• 依托单位: King's College London
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FX013707%2F2
• 关键词: Decision; Maker; Panel

The proposal draws on work to better understand conditions facing British businesses by the universities of Nottingham and Stanford, who established the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) in partnership with the Bank of England (Bank) in 2016. This was funded by the ESRC through standard grants from 2017 - 2022 and it is recognized within HM Government as essential data infrastructure. To date, DMP has been essential to gaining a better understanding of the effects of Brexit, Covid and the Ukraine war during a period of enormous economic, geo-political and social change, delivering actionable insights for policymakers at the highest levels of government. It has delivered policy-focused research that is an essential resource for the Bank of England, HM Treasury, 10 Downing St and the Cabinet Office, Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) since 2016. It has received the ESRC Celebrating Impact Prize (second prize) 2021, it was described by the Deputy National Statistician as 'a game changer for business surveys', and 'world leading' 4* impact case study by REF2021. The ability to maintain a large, representative survey of senior business executives and to address the impacts and longer term effects of economic disruptions has made it vital infrastructure for policy. It maintains a corpus of questions that provide longitudinal quantitative information on business conditions, expectations and uncertainty and has the flexibility to adapt survey questions to new conditions as they emerge e.g. during Covid. The DMP has developed into a strategic data asset that we have made accessible to researchers beyond the core DMP team. In this proposal we will i) gather data from key decision makers in business; ii) provide a delivery plan to analyze the data for actionable insights; and iii) make the data available to other researchers. We will build capacity in survey data collection and analysis that sustains and expands economic and societal impact. The grant will support ongoing data collection of DMP data making it:> One of the largest business surveys in the UK, which is maintained by minimizing attrition and continuously recruiting new firms.> A regular source of information to businesses, journalists and academics through monthly letters sent to all the participants and the website www.decisionmakerpanel.co.uk> An essential input to Bank of England Policy Committees (MPC, FPC), HM Treasury, BEIS and OBR drawing on DMP research analysis to support the actions and communication of policyThe research we undertake will address six vital questions:1. What are the effects of Brexit on employment, investment, R&D, productivity growth, trade, prices, and wages of UK firms?2. What are the uncertainty impacts of the COVID pandemic on firms?3. How will firms respond to the resurgence of inflation? 4. How will investment growth policies announced in several Budgets and fiscal statements incentivize UK firms? 5. What effects will climate change make to firm investment and risk exposure?6. What effect does CEO leadership have on performance? We draw on a highly-experienced established team of international researchers that have created a 'world-leading' survey to address We draw on a highly-experienced established team of international researchers that have created 'world-leading' surveys to address similar policy related research since 2016 in collaboration with the Bank of England, HM Government and the Office for National Statistics. Drawing on senior academics from Nottingham and Stanford we offer benefits to academics and users of the research through academic papers in top five economics journals, blogs, podcasts and media outputs, impact for policy making. We will create a publicly accessible dataset and build capacity in survey design and analysis by training a new cohort of early career researchers, giving them opportunities for secondment and career advancement.

该提案借鉴了诺丁汉大学和斯坦福大学为更好地了解英国企业面临的情况所做的工作，这两所大学于2016年与英格兰银行(Bank)合作成立了决策者小组(DMP)。这是由ESRC在2017-2022年通过标准赠款提供的资金，在英国政府内部被认为是基本的数据基础设施。迄今为止，在经济、地缘政治和社会发生巨大变化的时期，DMP对于更好地理解英国退欧、Covid和乌克兰战争的影响至关重要，为政府最高层的政策制定者提供了可操作的见解。自2016年以来，它提供了以政策为重点的研究，这是英国央行、英国财政部、唐宁街10号以及内阁办公室、国家统计局(ONS)和预算责任办公室(OBR)的重要资源。它获得了ESRC庆祝影响奖(二等奖)2021年，被副国家统计学家描述为“商业调查的游戏规则改变者”，并被REF2021描述为“世界领先的”4*Impact案例研究。有能力维持对高级企业高管进行的具有代表性的大型调查，并处理经济中断的影响和长期影响，这使其成为政策的重要基础设施。它维护一个问题语料库，提供关于商业状况、预期和不确定性的纵向量化信息，并具有灵活性，当新情况出现时，例如在Covid期间，可以调整调查问题以适应新情况。DMP已经发展成为一种战略数据资产，我们已经向核心DMP团队以外的研究人员提供了访问。在这份提案中，我们将：i)收集来自企业关键决策者的数据；ii)提供交付计划，以分析数据以获得可操作的见解；iii)将数据提供给其他研究人员。我们将在调查数据收集和分析方面建设能力，以维持和扩大经济和社会影响。这笔赠款将支持DMP数据的持续收集，使其成为英国最大的商业调查之一，通过最大限度地减少自然减员和不断招聘新公司来维持。&gt；通过每月发送给所有参与者的信件和网站www.ecisionmakerpanel.co.uk&gt；为企业、记者和学者提供定期信息来源；英国央行政策委员会(MPC、FPC)、英国财政部、BEIS和OBR利用DMP研究分析支持政策的行动和沟通的重要投入我们进行的研究将解决六个关键问题：1.英国脱欧对就业、投资、研发、生产率增长、贸易、价格、英国公司的工资呢？2.COVID疫情对公司的不确定性影响是什么？3.公司将如何应对通胀的卷土重来？4.几个预算和财政报表中宣布的投资增长政策将如何激励英国公司？5.气候变化将对公司投资和风险敞口产生什么影响？6.CEO领导层对业绩有什么影响？我们借鉴了一支经验丰富的成熟的国际研究团队，他们创建了一项“世界领先”的调查。我们利用一支经验丰富的成熟的国际研究团队，他们自2016年以来与英格兰银行、英国政府和国家统计局合作，创建了“世界领先”的调查，以解决类似的政策相关研究。借助来自诺丁汉和斯坦福大学的资深学者，我们通过在五大经济学期刊、博客、播客和媒体输出上发表的学术论文，为学者和研究用户提供利益，为政策制定带来影响。我们将创建一个公众可访问的数据集，并通过培训一批新的早期职业研究人员，使他们有机会借调和职业晋升，建设调查设计和分析方面的能力。