FERTILITY AND MORTALITY TRENDS ON COLONIAL KILIMANJARO

从1897年至1961年坦桑尼亚独立期间，基利曼哈罗上的6个天主教和5个路德教会的电子表格形式的令人惊讶的完整和广泛代表性的记录中，详细介绍了605个多代家庭和11 000多人死亡，将建立、核实和分析一个数据库。 这项分析将需要计算生育率、不育率和死亡率参数，以及在该区域早先描绘的社会和经济历史中计算的情况。 从殖民地时期基利曼哈罗的人口历史来看，可以更好地了解目前生育率和理想家庭规模下降的时间和原因，并将目前的死亡率模式纳入区域历史范围。 此外，通过对殖民地基利曼哈罗不同时期生育率和死亡率的描述，以及殖民地卫生发展计划历史上这些变化的情况，有可能评估这些计划的相对成功或失败，并为今天坦桑尼亚人民的卫生和计划生育计划提供一些见解。他们中很大一部分人在独立前就活着，他们记得殖民地的卫生干预措施，并通过过去的透镜看待现在。

From the surprisingly complete and broadly representative records now in spreadsheet form of 6 Catholic and 5 Lutheran missions on Kilimanjaro, detailing 605 multi-generational families and greater than 11,000 deaths, from 1897 to Tanzanian Independence in 1961, a database will be constructed, verified and analyzed. The analysis will entail the calculation of fertility, infertility, and mortality parameters and the situation of the calculations within an earlier delineated social and economic history of the region. From the situated demographic history of colonial Kilimanjaro, it will be possible to better understand when and why the current hopeful decreases in fertility and desired family size have occurred and to incorporate the current mortality patterns within the sweep of regional history. Furthermore, with the delineation of fertility and mortality at different periods for colonial Kilimanjaro and the situation of those changes within the history of colonial health development programs, it may be possible to assess the relative success or failure of those programs and provide some insight for health and family planning programs for the Tanzania s people today, a significant percentage of whom were alive prior to independence and remember the colonial health interventions and read the present through the lens of the past.