Preparedness and planning for the mountain hazard and risk chain in Nepal

尼泊尔山区灾害和风险链的准备和规划

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    NE/T01038X/1
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 278.12万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    英国
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助国家:
    英国
  • 起止时间:
    2021 至 无数据
  • 项目状态:
    未结题

项目摘要

ContextNearly 1 bn people live in mountain landscapes within developing countries. Living with the impacts of multiple hazards in mountainous regions, such as monsoon rainfall, earthquakes and landsliding, is for many a day-to-day reality. Both the short- and long-term impacts of hazards are often exaggerated by their concurrent or sequential timing, and by the socio-political context in which they occur. This context results from fragmented government, rapid population change, and the very localized impacts of global (geo)political interests. As a result, hazards have recurring and disproportionate impacts on some of the most vulnerable members of society. While much research has been conducted on both the socio-political context and the individual hazards and risks that people face, this work is rarely used for disaster risk management. Aims & objectivesTo tackle this, we build on our existing long-standing collaborations with the aim of examining how best to develop and use new interdisciplinary science to help inform better decision making and reduce the impacts of multi-hazards in mountain countries. We focus on Nepal, which has many similarities to other lower-income countries that endure complex multi-hazards resulting from earthquakes and monsoon rainfall as well as emerging systemic risks. Nepal is also undergoing complex social, political and economic transformation associated with a change to a federal system of government and changing geopolitical pressures, all within a hazardous yet densely populated landscape.The objectives of our research are each designed to make a significant difference to the ways in which residents, government, and the international community take decisions to manage multi-hazards and systemic risks. They include:(1) Thinking critically about our current understanding of the social, political, economic and environmental context within which disasters occur in Nepal, and the data that we use to assess that context;(2) Establishing a new approach to national-scale strategic-planning for complex multi-hazard events, which includes the consequences of linked earthquakes, monsoons and landslides;(3) Developing interdisciplinary science to anticipate, plan for, and communicate the range of hazards that occur during the monsoon; and(4) Finding the best ways to utilise local knowledge and interdisciplinary science to inform how to prepare for and respond to multi-hazard disasters.Potential applications and benefitTo achieve our objectives, we bring together a team of Nepali and international researchers from a range of disciplines, including geoscience, social science and the humanities, who have track records in various facets of this issue. Together, we aim to: (1) develop new fundamental data and evidence to underpin decision-making, (2) establish pathways for getting the best possible information to those who need it, in a format and timeframe that are useful and usable, (3) think critically about how multi-hazards and risks can be effectively managed, and (4) nurture an environment that supports the young researchers and practitioners who will be the future of disaster risk management in Nepal.We ground our proposal within the context of our long-term community-based work with rural residents in Nepal, and reflect upon their articulations of the need to make better decisions to reduce the risks that they face. We also build upon our work on managing risks with the Government of Nepal and the United Nations, who coordinate disaster planning in the country. The Government, UN, and major development and humanitarian organisations have been involved from the outset in developing this proposal to ensure an agile, joined-up, evidence-based approach to multi-hazard and risk management.
发展中国家有近10亿人生活在山区。山区生活在季风降雨、地震和滑坡等多种灾害的影响之下,是许多人日复一日的现实。灾害的短期和长期影响往往因其同时发生或相继发生的时间以及发生灾害的社会政治背景而被夸大。这种情况是由于政府分散、人口迅速变化以及全球(地缘)政治利益的局部影响造成的。因此,灾害对社会中一些最脆弱的成员产生了反复和不成比例的影响。虽然对社会政治背景和人们面临的个别危害和风险进行了大量研究,但这项工作很少用于灾害风险管理。为了解决这个问题,我们建立在我们现有的长期合作基础上,旨在研究如何最好地开发和使用新的跨学科科学,以帮助更好地决策和减少山区国家多种灾害的影响。我们重点关注尼泊尔,它与其他低收入国家有许多相似之处,这些国家遭受地震和季风降雨以及新出现的系统性风险造成的复杂的多重灾害。尼泊尔也正在经历复杂的社会、政治和经济转型,这与政府的联邦制度的改变和不断变化的地缘政治压力有关,所有这些都发生在危险但人口稠密的地区。我们研究的目标都旨在对居民、政府和国际社会采取管理多重灾害和系统性风险的决策方式产生重大影响。这些建议包括:(1)批判性地思考我们目前对尼泊尔发生灾害的社会、政治、经济和环境背景的理解,以及我们用来评估这一背景的数据;(2)制定一种新的方法,对复杂的多灾害事件进行国家级战略规划,其中包括相互关联的地震、季风和山体滑坡的后果;(3)发展跨学科科学,对季风期间发生的各种灾害进行预测、规划和宣传;以及(4)寻找利用当地知识和跨学科科学的最佳方法,为如何准备和应对多种灾害提供信息。潜在的应用和效益为了实现我们的目标,我们汇集了一个由尼泊尔和国际研究人员组成的团队,他们来自一系列学科,包括地球科学,社会科学和人文科学,他们在这个问题的各个方面都有良好的记录。我们共同致力于:(1)开发新的基本数据和证据,以支持决策,(2)建立途径,以有用和可用的格式和时间表向需要的人提供最佳信息,(3)批判性地思考如何有效管理多种灾害和风险,以及(4)培养一个支持年轻研究人员和从业人员的环境,他们将成为尼泊尔灾害风险管理的未来。我们的建议基于我们长期以来的背景,在尼泊尔,我们将与农村居民开展长期的社区工作,并反思他们表达的需要做出更好的决定以减少他们面临的风险。我们还与尼泊尔政府和联合国一道开展风险管理工作,联合国负责协调该国的灾害规划工作。政府、联合国以及主要的发展和人道主义组织从一开始就参与制定这一建议,以确保对多种灾害和风险管理采取灵活、联合和循证的办法。

项目成果

期刊论文数量(10)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
National-Scale Rainfall-Triggered Landslide Susceptibility and Exposure in Nepal
尼泊尔全国范围内降雨引发的山体滑坡敏感性和暴露度
  • DOI:
    10.1029/2023ef004102
  • 发表时间:
    2024
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Kincey M
  • 通讯作者:
    Kincey M
Modelling the impact from cascading geohazards using hypergraphs
使用超图对级联地质灾害的影响进行建模
  • DOI:
    10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19965
  • 发表时间:
    2024
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Dunant A
  • 通讯作者:
    Dunant A
Manual Landslide Maps are Surprisingly Inaccurate but Automated Detection Could Help
手动山体滑坡地图出人意料地不准确,但自动检测可以提供帮助
  • DOI:
    10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17066
  • 发表时间:
    2024
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Milledge D
  • 通讯作者:
    Milledge D
Using Google Earth Engine to map landslide hazard and exposure across Nepal
使用 Google Earth Engine 绘制尼泊尔各地的山体滑坡灾害和暴露情况图
  • DOI:
    10.5194/egusphere-egu24-15272
  • 发表时间:
    2024
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Harvey E
  • 通讯作者:
    Harvey E
Identifying recurrent and persistent landslides using satellite imagery and deep learning: A 30-year analysis of the Himalaya.
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171161
  • 发表时间:
    2024-02
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Tzu-Hsin Karen Chen;M. Kincey;N. J. Rosser;Karen C. Seto
  • 通讯作者:
    Tzu-Hsin Karen Chen;M. Kincey;N. J. Rosser;Karen C. Seto
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Alexander Densmore其他文献

Distribution and characteristics of loess landslides triggered by the 1920 Haiyuan Earthquake, Northwest of China
  • DOI:
    org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.04.012
  • 发表时间:
    2018
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Jianqi Zhuang;Jianbing Peng;Chong Xu;Zhenhong Li;Alexander Densmore;David Milledge;Javed Iqbal;Yifei Cui
  • 通讯作者:
    Yifei Cui

Alexander Densmore的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('Alexander Densmore', 18)}}的其他基金

Community-based earthquake disaster risk reduction in China: integrating local and scientific knowledge for planning and preparedness
中国以社区为基础的地震灾害风险降低:整合当地和科学知识进行规划和备灾
  • 批准号:
    NE/N012216/1
  • 财政年份:
    2016
  • 资助金额:
    $ 278.12万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
Earthquakes without frontiers: a partnership for increasing resilience to seismic hazard in the continents
地震无国界:增强大陆抗震能力的伙伴关系
  • 批准号:
    NE/J01995X/1
  • 财政年份:
    2012
  • 资助金额:
    $ 278.12万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
The structure and dynamics of groundwater systems in northwestern India under past, present and future climates
过去、现在和未来气候下印度西北部地下水系统的结构和动态
  • 批准号:
    NE/I022434/1
  • 财政年份:
    2012
  • 资助金额:
    $ 278.12万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
Building rural resilience in seismically active regions
在地震活跃地区建设农村抵御能力
  • 批准号:
    NE/I017941/1
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 278.12万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
Rapid assessment of sediment dynamics on an active debris-flow fan
主动泥石流扇上泥沙动力学的快速评估
  • 批准号:
    NE/G009104/1
  • 财政年份:
    2009
  • 资助金额:
    $ 278.12万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
Surface rupture in the 12 May 2008 Sichuan earthquake
2008 年 5 月 12 日四川地震中的地表破裂
  • 批准号:
    NE/G002665/1
  • 财政年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    $ 278.12万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant

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尼泊尔山区灾害和风险链的准备和规划
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Preparedness and planning for the mountain hazard and risk chain in Nepal
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Preparedness and planning for the mountain hazard and risk chain in Nepal
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