Offshore hazard cascades from the largest volcanic eruption this century

本世纪最大规模的火山喷发造成近海灾害级联

• 批准号: NE/X00239X/1
• 负责人: Mike Clare
• 金额: $ 12.84万
• 依托单位: NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2022 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FX00239X%2F1
• 关键词: Offshore; hazard; cascades; largest; volcanic

Volcanic eruptions in marine settings pose a diverse range of hazards, both directly and indirectly caused by the eruption. In January 2022 the partially-submerged Tongan volcano Hunga Tonga - Hunga-Ha'apai experienced one of the most powerful volcanic events seen in decades, generating a tsunami that caused damage both locally and on shorelines thousands of km away, breaking the only seafloor telecommunications cables that connect Tonga to the rest of the world and causing $90.4M of damage, equivalent to 18.5% of Tonga's Gross Domestic Product. The damage to the cable both severely hampered efforts to contact and assist Tonga in the immediate aftermath of the disaster and the time of writing (16th Feb 2022) had not yet been repaired; effectively meaning that 105,000 Tongan citizens have had to rely on low bandwidth, high latency satellite communication for over a month. Both the local tsunami and the cable break were unusual. First, while local tsunami waves ran up to 15m in some parts of Tonga, this near field tsunami was smaller and caused less damage than similar events elsewhere e.g. smaller 2018 Anak Krakatau volcanic-tsunami. Second, while the explosive event at the volcano occurred at 04:14 UTC the seabed cable faults did not occur until 05:40 UTC, 90 minutes later. This proposal will examine whether these events were caused by secondary submarine landslides or other process and will characterise their locations, dynamics and magnitudes. In order to address these important questions we will collect new high-resolution multibeam bathymetric data in April 2022 over the region to compare with existing high-resolution data from before the eruption. This comparison will allow us to identify seafloor changes caused by Hunga Tonga -Hunga Ha'apai, map their locations and extents and calculate the volumes of material added or mobilised during this event. This study will also provide a new baseline from which future larger studies of this potentially paradigm-shifting eruption can be based and the products generated will help to constrain the boundary conditions for future tsunami modelling. In order for data to be accurate and useful they must be collected as soon as is feasible after the eruption. The seafloor is extremely dynamic (as shown by repeat surveys at smaller offshore volcanoes), large volumes of material can be deposited over short timescales and existing shallow sediments can be remobilised by waves and storms. This opportunity is unique both because of the scale of the event and because of the high-quality data available to study it (pre-existing bathymetry, cooperation from cable operators, well constrained eruption timings and processes) and also takes advantage of extending a scheduled research cruise nearby, significantly reducing the associated costs and CO2 outputs. Cable companies can share data from the faults and repair, but their vessels are not equipped with multibeam sonars required to perform detailed seafloor surveys; hence the causes of faults, the nature of the eruptive event are unclear and cannot be addressed by satellite data either. Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai is far from unique; there are numerous similar volcanoes both in the Tofua Arc and worldwide. However, very few of these are monitored and most are poorly surveyed; hence the risk they pose is unclear. This timely project will provide the first detailed time-lapse surveys for such a large offshore eruption, and thus enables major step changes in understanding the dynamics of extremely large eruptions, and how they generate secondary hazards, via tsunami or breaking critical seabed telecommunication cables that carry >99% of all digital traffic globally. Time is of the essence; performing a rapid response survey (by extending an already scheduled cruise that will travel close to the area) will provide robust answers to fundamental questions about submarine volcanic eruptions and their linked hazards.

海洋环境中的火山爆发造成各种各样的危险，包括火山爆发直接和间接造成的危险。2022年1月，部分淹没的汤加火山Hunga Tonga-Hunga-Ha 'apai经历了几十年来最强大的火山事件之一，引发了海啸，对当地和数千公里外的海岸线造成了破坏，破坏了连接汤加与世界其他地区的唯一海底电信电缆，造成了9040万美元的损失，相当于汤加国内生产总值的18.5%。电缆的损坏严重阻碍了灾难发生后立即联系和援助汤加的努力，并且在撰写本文时（2022年2月16日）尚未修复;这实际上意味着105，000名汤加公民不得不依赖低带宽，高延迟卫星通信超过一个月。当地的海啸和电缆断裂都是不寻常的。首先，虽然汤加某些地区的海啸波高达15米，但这场近场海啸规模较小，造成的损失也小于其他地方的类似事件，例如2018年较小的Anak Krakatau火山海啸。其次，虽然火山爆炸事件发生在协调世界时04：14，但海底电缆故障直到协调世界时05：40，即90分钟后才发生。该提案将研究这些事件是否由次级海底滑坡或其他过程引起，并将确定其位置，动力学和规模。为了解决这些重要问题，我们将于2022年4月在该地区收集新的高分辨率多波束测深数据，以与火山爆发前的现有高分辨率数据进行比较。这一比较将使我们能够确定Hunga Tonga -Hunga Ha'apai造成的海底变化，绘制其位置和范围，并计算在这一事件期间增加或动员的材料量。这项研究还将提供一个新的基线，未来可以根据这个潜在的范式转移喷发的更大的研究，所产生的产品将有助于限制未来海啸建模的边界条件。为了使数据准确和有用，必须在火山爆发后尽快收集数据。海底是极其动态的（如在较小的近海火山的重复调查所示），大量的物质可以在短时间内沉积，现有的浅层沉积物可以被波浪和风暴重新移动。这一机会是独一无二的，既因为事件的规模，也因为可用于研究的高质量数据（预先存在的水深测量，电缆运营商的合作，严格限制的喷发时间和过程），还利用了附近的预定研究巡航，大大降低了相关成本和二氧化碳排放量。电缆公司可以分享故障和维修的数据，但他们的船只没有配备进行详细海底调查所需的多波束声纳;因此，故障的原因，喷发事件的性质尚不清楚，也无法通过卫星数据解决。Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai远非独一无二;在Tofua Arc和世界各地都有许多类似的火山。然而，其中很少受到监测，而且大多数都没有得到很好的调查;因此，它们构成的风险尚不清楚。这一及时的项目将为如此大规模的海上喷发提供第一次详细的延时调查，从而使了解特大喷发的动态以及它们如何通过海啸或破坏承载全球99%以上数字流量的关键海底电信电缆产生二次危害的重大步骤发生变化。时间紧迫进行快速反应调查（延长已排定的在该地区附近航行的巡航）将为有关海底火山爆发及其相关危害的基本问题提供有力的答案。

项目成果

Pyroclastic density currents explain far-reaching and diverse seafloor impacts of the 2022 Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha'apai eruption

火山碎屑密度流解释了 2022 年洪加汤加洪加哈派喷发对海底的深远而多样的影响

• DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2395332/v1
• 发表时间: 2023
• 作者: Seabrook S

Climate change hotspots and implications for the global subsea telecommunications network

• DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104296
• 发表时间: 2023-01-19
• 期刊: EARTH-SCIENCE REVIEWS
• 影响因子: 12.1
• 作者: Clare，M. A.;Yeo，I. A.;Carter，L.
• 通讯作者: Carter，L.