Understanding the extent, causes, consequences and future of population decline in Europe

该项目旨在加强我们对31个欧洲国家未来人口下降的原因、基础因素和潜在后果的理解。- 建立一个关于人口变化直接决定因素的综合数据库（生育率、死亡率和移徙）和广泛的社会经济因素- 确定欧洲31个国家人口下降的程度、普遍程度和时间;- 查明欧洲国家人口下降的主要原因，并确定国家以下各级在人口下降的程度和原因方面的差异;- 为最可能出现的人口变化情况作出国家和国家以下各级的人口预测。

This project seeks to enhance our understanding of the causes, underpinning factors and potential consequences of future population decline across 31 European countries. Particularly, this project aims to:- Build a comprehensive database of the proximate determinants of population change (fertility, mortality and migration) and a wide range of socio-economic factors (e.g. population composition, female labour force participation and unemployment rate) at the national and sub-national levels;- Establish the extent, prevalence and timing of population decline in 31 countries in Europe;- Identify the dominant cause of population decline in European countries, and determine sub-national variations in the extent and causes of population decline;- Generate national and sub-national population projections for the most likely scenarios of population change.