Predicting Cohabiting Unions' Outcomes and Stability

描述(由申请人提供)：本研究项目的目的是探索同居婚姻的结果和稳定性如何与生活经历和态度有关。将调查两个相关问题：1)同居结合是在经历人生历程的同时形成的(考察生育率、就业、教育、居住流动性等事件)，与同居转变为婚姻或破裂的可能性有关，如果发生婚姻，则与婚姻保持完整的可能性有关；2)同居形成之前的态度是否预示着婚姻关系将过渡到婚姻或破裂，以及如果婚姻发生，婚姻结合的稳定性。主要假设是：1)同居关系破裂、保持完整或过渡到婚姻的可能性以及随后的婚姻是否保持完好将取决于婚姻是否与经历其他人生历程事件的同时形成、发生什么类型的事件、事件的数量以及婚姻状况和种族/民族的不同；以及2)具有更传统价值取向和更虔诚的个人的同居结合更有可能过渡到婚姻，他们随后的婚姻比不那么传统的人更有可能保持稳定。多项Logistic回归和事件历史方法将应用于全国家庭和家庭调查的第1、2和3波，以模拟工会的过渡。这项研究将促进我们对同居如何适应美国家庭体系的理解。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): The objective of this research project is to explore how the outcomes and stability of cohabiting unions are related to life course experiences and attitudes. Two related questions will be investigated: 1) are cohabiting unions formed at the same time as the experience of a life course event (looking at events such as fertility, employment, education, residential mobility) related to the likelihood the cohabitation transitions into marriage or breaks up and, if a marriage occurs, to the likelihood that the marriage remains intact; and 2) are attitudes held prior to the formation of a cohabitation predictive of whether the union will transition into marriage or break up and, if a marriage occurs, of the stability of the marital union. The main hypotheses are 1) the likelihood of a cohabiting union breaking up, staying intact, or transitioning into marriage and whether the subsequent marriage remains intact will vary by whether the union was formed at the same time other life course events were experienced, what kind of events, and the number of events as well as vary by marital status and race/ethnicity; and 2) the cohabiting unions of individuals with more traditional value orientations and who are more religious are more likely to transition into marriage, and their subsequent marriages are more likely to be stable compared to less traditional persons. Multinomial logistic regression and event history methods will be applied to Waves 1, 2, and 3 of the National Survey of Families and Households to model union transitions. This research will advance our understanding of how cohabitation fits into the American family system.