Consistency of Retrospectively Reported Individual Fertility Data Across Time

回顾性报告的个人生育力数据随时间的一致性

• 批准号: 10397098
• 负责人: KAREN B GUZZO
• 金额: $ 7.1万
• 依托单位: BOWLING GREEN STATE UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2021
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2021-06-01 至 2024-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10397098
• 关键词: Adolescent; Adult; Affect; Area; Attitude; Behavior; Birth; Birth Order; Birth Weight; Characteristics; Child; Child Health; Child Rearing; Child Welfare; Conceptions; Consequentialism; Contraceptive Usage; Data; Data Collection; Data Reporting; Data Set; Date of birth; Disadvantaged; Event; Family; Fathers; Feeling; Fertility; Frequencies; Future; Gestational Age; Goals; Health; Health Promotion; Home; Individual; Infertility; Intervention; Link; Longitudinal Studies; Longitudinal Surveys; Low Birth Weight Infant; Marital Status; Measures; Meta-Analysis; Mission; Modeling; Mothers; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Outcome; Parents; Participant; Pattern; Policies; Population Dynamics; Pregnancy; Prenatal care; Public Health; Recording of previous events; Reporting; Research; Research Personnel; Respondent; Risk; Running; Smoking; Structure; Surveys; Techniques; Testing; Time; Uncertainty; Unmarried; Variant; Well in self; Woman; Work; base; child bearing; cost; data quality; design; evidence base; experience; health disparity; improved; longitudinal dataset; men; minority children; outcome prediction; parity; programs; public health intervention; response; sociodemographics; substance use; young mother; young woman

Project Abstract The conditions in which men and women have children are widely studied, with two distinct bodies of research: (1) predicting who has births and the characteristics of those births, and (2) analyzing how birth characteristics influence later outcomes. Both areas are highly dependent on survey data, with individuals retrospectively reporting about their births. Birth characteristics range from subjective conception factors (such as relationship status or whether the pregnancy was intended) to behaviors during pregnancy (such as smoking or prenatal care) to more objective data (such as gestational age or birth weight). These characteristics are then used as either dependent or independent variables to identify the predictors and consequences, respectively, of various birth characteristics. Rarely, though, have researchers considered whether this retrospectively-reported data – data produced by asking individuals to recall statuses, feelings, behaviors, and details of past events – is reliable. If input data is flawed, then research using such data risks drawing inaccurate conclusions. The limited research directly investigating retrospectively-reported fertility survey data has indeed found problems – some men’s births are not reported at all, and a substantial minority of young women change how they retrospectively characterize the intendedness of a birth when asked about the same birth at different points in time. This suggests that retrospective reports for other birth characteristics may also be prone to inconsistencies over time. The current project thus investigates an important but untested assumption: that mothers and fathers are consistent in how they report about past fertility. The project tests this assumption with the only two longitudinal datasets (the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health and the Toledo Adolescent Relationships Study) that collect full fertility histories at multiple waves, which means that individuals have multiple opportunities to report characteristics for the same birth(s). The proposed research will accomplish two goals. First, it will establish whether respondents report consistently about their births, investigating a wide range of birth measures. This will a) identify which characteristics are most likely to be reported consistently, b) leverage differences in surveying to determine how survey frequency and structure influence consistency, and c) establish whether there is systematic variation in who reports consistently. Second, this project will answer a more fundamental question: does inconsistency affect the conclusions drawn about the relationship between birth characteristics, on the one hand, and potential precursors and outcomes, on the other? In parallel analyses using birth characteristics as either the dependent or independent variable – and varying the waves from which these characteristics are drawn – models will be compared to identify whether the associations between precursors/outcomes and birth characteristics are sensitive to inconsistent reports. This fits squarely within the mission of the NICHD Population Dynamics Branch Fertility and Infertility Program and has both practical and substantive implications for fertility research and public health programs.

项目摘要 人们对男女生育子女的条件进行了广泛的研究，有两个不同的研究机构： (1)预测谁有出生和这些出生的特点，（2）分析出生特点如何 影响后来的结果。这两个领域都高度依赖于调查数据， 报道他们的出生。出生特征的范围从主观概念因素（如关系 怀孕期间的行为（如吸烟或产前检查） 护理）到更客观的数据（如胎龄或出生体重）。这些特征被用作 无论是因变量还是自变量，以确定预测因子和后果，分别， 出生特征。然而，研究人员很少考虑这些回顾性报告的数据- 通过要求个人回忆过去事件的状态、感受、行为和细节而产生的数据， 可靠如果输入数据有缺陷，那么使用这些数据进行研究就有可能得出不准确的结论。有限 直接调查回顾性报告的生育调查数据的研究确实发现了问题-一些 男性的出生根本没有报告，相当一部分年轻女性改变了她们的生育方式， 回顾性地描述出生的意图，当被问及同一出生在不同的点， 时间这表明其他出生特征的回顾性报告也可能倾向于 时间上的不一致。因此，目前的项目调查了一个重要但未经检验的假设： 母亲和父亲在报告过去生育情况方面是一致的。该项目测试了这一假设， 仅有的两个纵向数据集（国家青少年到成人健康纵向研究和 托莱多青少年关系研究），收集完整的生育史在多个波，这意味着， 每个人都有多次机会报告同一次出生的特征。拟议研究 将实现两个目标。首先，它将确定答卷人是否一贯报告其出生情况， 调查各种各样的生育措施这将a）确定哪些特征最有可能 一致报告，B）利用调查中的差异来确定调查频率和结构 影响一致性，以及c）确定世卫组织报告的一致性是否存在系统性差异。 其次，这个项目将回答一个更根本的问题：不一致性是否会影响得出的结论 一方面，出生特征与潜在的前兆和结果之间的关系， 另一边呢在使用出生特征作为因变量或自变量的平行分析中- 并改变从中得出这些特征的波浪-将比较模型以识别 前兆/结果与出生特征之间的关联是否对不一致敏感 报道这完全符合NICHD人口动态生育力和不孕症分支的使命 该计划对生育研究和公共卫生计划都有实际和实质性的影响。