The material-energy nexus: incorporating energy conservation into material flow analysis models

自2006年以来，欧洲（欧盟27国+挪威）的常规石油供应（生产+进口）和天然气供应自2005年以来的减少，加上气候变化问题日益严重，正在推动寻找替代能源，这需要我们有限的材料储备来建造。在我的项目中，将仔细研究我们的物质资源与通过可再生能源技术满足我们能源需求所需数量的相对规模，以指导未来的长期能源开发。更具体地说，我研究物质和能量流，以及与之相关的不确定性的方法。我的项目的目的是开发一个框架，使人们能够很好地理解不确定性及其影响，提供更透明的结果，以便更好地制定政策。特别关注与能源转型相关的材料的供应和需求，这些材料代表了物质流分析（MFA）和能源系统建模（ESM）之间的接口。

The decrease in conventional oil supply (production+imports) since 2006, and that of natural gas since 2005 in Europe (EU27+Norway) coupled with the growing problem of climate change are fuelling the search for alternative energy sources, which require much of, if not more than, our limited material reserves to build. The relative size of our material resources compared to the amounts required to satisfy our energy demand via renewable energy technologies will be studied carefully during my project to guide future long term energy resource developments. More specifically, I study material and energy flows, and methods to account for uncertainties associated to them. The aim of my project is to develop a framework which enables uncertainties and their effects to be well understood, providing more transparent results on which better policymaking can be based. There is a particular focus on the supply and demand of materials relevant to the energy transition which represent the interface between material flow analysis (MFA) and energy system modelling (ESM).