The Politics of Authoritarian Succession in Post-Soviet Personalised Autocracies

后苏联个人独裁国家的独裁继承政治

基本信息

批准号：
2887148
负责人：
金额：
--
依托单位：
King's College London
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Studentship
财政年份：
2023
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2023 至无数据
项目状态：
未结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2887148
关键词：
Politics Authoritarian Succession Post Soviet

项目摘要

Leadership succession poses one of the most perennial problems in politics. Its disruptive potential is heightened in highly personalised autocracies, where political influence is concentrated under a single leader. The aim of the proposed research is to explore how different modalities of personalist authoritarian systems affect the choices of leadership succession strategies and how these choices affect regime stability. To answer these questions, the proposed research would draw upon evidence from a sample of countries from the post-Soviet region, where personalist autocracy has become a dominant regime type. The variation among selected post-Soviet dictatorships would be leveraged analytically to investigate possible links with specific succession strategies. Further, data on public opinion and elite behaviour would be used to capture the impact of succession strategies on regime stability. The recent wave of constitutional reforms in the region provides a unique opportunity for a comparative analysis of the processes of modifying the rules pertaining to leadership succession. The findings of this research would contribute to the burgeoning new literature on authoritarianism. The rising personalisation of politics and the growing importance of the post-Soviet region render the understanding of succession politics in highly personalised settings extremely relevant for scholars, businesses and policymakers.

领导力继承构成了政治中最多年生的问题之一。在高度个性化的专制行为中，其破坏性潜力提高了，在政治影响力集中在单一领导者之下。拟议研究的目的是探索个人主义专制制度的不同方式如何影响领导力继承策略的选择以及这些选择如何影响政权稳定性。为了回答这些问题，拟议的研究将利用来自后苏联地区的国家样本的证据，在后苏联地区，个人主义专制已成为一种主要的政权类型。选定的后独裁统治之间的差异将在分析上杠杆作用，以研究与特定继任策略的可能联系。此外，有关公众舆论和精英行为的数据将用于捕获继任策略对政权稳定的影响。该地区最近的宪法改革浪潮为修改与领导力继承有关的规则的过程进行比较分析提供了独特的机会。这项研究的结果将有助于新兴的关于威权主义的新文学。政治的个性化和后苏联地区的日益重要性的不断增长，使对高度个性化的环境中的继任政治的理解与学者，企业和政策制定者极为相关。