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The Politics of Authoritarian Succession in Post-Soviet Personalised Autocracies

后苏联个人独裁国家的独裁继承政治

基本信息

批准号：
2887148
负责人：
金额：
--
依托单位：
King's College London
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Studentship
财政年份：
2023
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2023 至无数据
项目状态：
未结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2887148
关键词：
Politics Authoritarian Succession Post Soviet

项目摘要

Leadership succession poses one of the most perennial problems in politics. Its disruptive potential is heightened in highly personalised autocracies, where political influence is concentrated under a single leader. The aim of the proposed research is to explore how different modalities of personalist authoritarian systems affect the choices of leadership succession strategies and how these choices affect regime stability. To answer these questions, the proposed research would draw upon evidence from a sample of countries from the post-Soviet region, where personalist autocracy has become a dominant regime type. The variation among selected post-Soviet dictatorships would be leveraged analytically to investigate possible links with specific succession strategies. Further, data on public opinion and elite behaviour would be used to capture the impact of succession strategies on regime stability. The recent wave of constitutional reforms in the region provides a unique opportunity for a comparative analysis of the processes of modifying the rules pertaining to leadership succession. The findings of this research would contribute to the burgeoning new literature on authoritarianism. The rising personalisation of politics and the growing importance of the post-Soviet region render the understanding of succession politics in highly personalised settings extremely relevant for scholars, businesses and policymakers.

领导人的继任是政治中最持久的问题之一。在高度个人化的独裁政权中，政治影响力集中在一位领导人之下，其破坏性潜力得到了加强。本研究的目的是探讨个人主义威权体制的不同模式如何影响领导人继任策略的选择，以及这些选择如何影响政权稳定。为了回答这些问题，拟议中的研究将借鉴来自后苏联地区的国家样本的证据，在这些国家中，个人主义专制已经成为一种占主导地位的政权类型。将对选定的后苏联领导人之间的差异进行分析，以调查与特定继承战略的可能联系。此外，将利用关于公众舆论和精英行为的数据来了解继任战略对政权稳定的影响。该区域最近的宪政改革浪潮提供了一个独特的机会，可以对修改有关领导人继任规则的进程进行比较分析。本研究的发现将有助于新兴的权威主义文学。政治的日益个性化和后苏联地区日益增长的重要性，使得在高度个性化的环境中对继任政治的理解与学者，企业和政策制定者非常相关。