Developing the capability to forecast extreme Space Weather events

发展预测极端空间天气事件的能力

• 批准号: 2887653
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: University of Warwick
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Studentship
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2887653
• 关键词: Developing; capability; forecast; extreme; Space

Extreme Space Weather is driven by large-scale eruptions from the Sun called coronal mass ejections. Upon arrival at the Earth, these produce amazing auroral displays but also endanger satellites and astronauts, and disrupt communications and power grids. Forecasting these events is of primary importance to the UK MET Office, one of three centres world-wide providing round-the-clock space weather predictions. This project, in collaboration with the UK MET Office, will develop state-of-the-art plasma simulations to forecast extreme Space Weather and develop advanced statistical techniques to quantify the uncertainties in their prediction.

极端太空天气是由太阳的大规模喷发（日冕物质抛射）造成的。到达地球后，它们会产生惊人的极光，但也会危及卫星和宇航员，并扰乱通信和电网。预测这些事件对英国气象局至关重要，英国气象局是世界上提供全天候太空天气预报的三个中心之一。该项目与英国气象局合作，将开发最先进的等离子体模拟来预测极端空间天气，并开发先进的统计技术来量化预测中的不确定性。