Modelling Analysis of Gun crime NETworks (MAGNET)

枪支犯罪网络（MAGNET）的建模分析

• 批准号: EP/D078725/1
• 负责人: Petra Sylvia Meier
• 金额: $ 26.3万
• 依托单位: Manchester Metropolitan University
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2006
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2006 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FD078725%2F1
• 关键词: Modelling; Analysis; Gun; crime; NETworks

The aim of the proposed feasibility study is to explore the benefits of using different modelling techniques to aid stakeholder's decision making in tackling gun crime. The first step is to accurately represent the combined knowledge of the gun crime phenomenon that is available into mind maps. We will focus on three components, the gun, the gun user and the victim. Data will be obtained by accessing a variety of sources including police databases, and interviewing key informants such as gang members, offenders, police officers, local government representatives and community action groups. The second step involves the translation of the resultant mind maps into simulation models of the key processes involved in gun crime, exploring modelling methodologies such as Bayesian Networks, Cellular Automata and epidemiological modelling. Throughout the study, we will work closely with stakeholders to determine the usability of the simulation models for decision making regarding the tackling of gun crime.

拟议可行性研究的目的是探索使用不同建模技术来帮助利益相关者在打击枪支犯罪方面做出决策的好处。第一步是准确地将可用于思维导图的枪支犯罪现象的综合知识表示出来。我们将重点关注三个组成部分：枪支、枪支使用者和受害者。数据将通过访问包括警方数据库在内的各种来源以及采访帮派成员、罪犯、警察、地方政府代表和社区行动团体等关键知情人来获得。第二步是将生成的思维导图转化为枪支犯罪关键过程的模拟模型，探索贝叶斯网络、元胞自动机和流行病学建模等建模方法。在整个研究过程中，我们将与利益相关者密切合作，以确定模拟模型在打击枪支犯罪决策中的可用性。