MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling

近年来，2003年的SARS疫情、高致病性H5N1禽流感毒株以及对生物恐怖主义的持续关注，突显了新传染病对人类的威胁。因此，为这种可能发生的情况做好准备是世界各地公共卫生机构和政府的一个关键优先事项。在这方面，流行病的计算机建模加上科学严谨的数据分析已被证明是深入了解疾病爆发的传播以及我们如何尝试和控制新疾病传播的有力工具。爆发分析和建模中心的目标是开展流行病建模研究，并将开发的工具应用于关注的重点疾病威胁。该中心将提供一个核心基础设施————爆发分析股（非统组织）————以便与主要公共卫生组织（例如卫生组织、联合国、卫生事务局）建立长期合作关系，并将中心研究人员的基础流行病学研究转化为爆发规划和应对方面的真正改进。此外，该中心将开发第一个真正的全球流行病模拟器。该中心的工作人员还将在向公共卫生专业人员和决策者提供培训方面发挥关键作用。

The threat to human populations from new infectious diseases has been highlighted in recent years by the 2003 SARS epidemic, the highly pathogenic H5N1 bird flu strain and ongoing concerns about bioterrorism. Preparing for such eventualities is therefore a key priority for public health agencies and governments worldwide. In this context, computer modelling of epidemics coupled with scientifically rigorous data analysis have proven themselves as powerful tools for giving insight into the spread of disease outbreaks and how we can try and control the transmission of a new disease. The Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling aims to undertaking research in epidemic modelling, and apply the tools developed to priority disease threats of concern. The Centre will provide a core infrastructure - the Outbreak Analysis Unit (OAU) - for establishing long-term collaborative relationships with key public health organisations (e.g. WHO, UN, HPA) and for translating the fundamental epidemiological research of Centre researchers into real improvements in outbreak planning and response. In addition, the Centre will develop the first truly global epidemic simulator. Staff of the Centre will also have a key role in providing training to public health professionals and policy makers.