Ideational Influences on Migration: Values and Beliefs

描述（由申请人提供）：这是一份调查观念因素（价值观和信仰）对尼泊尔国内和国际移民影响的提案。我们已经确定了许多假设对移民有重大影响的观念因素，包括离开一个地区和搬迁到哪里的决定。观念影响还可以与社会经济和人口因素、家庭过程以及影响移民的特定资本相互作用。不幸的是，大多数移民研究几乎只关注社会经济因素，对价值观和信仰对移民的影响了解甚少。我们的项目旨在通过关注价值观和信仰以及它们如何与社会经济力量相互作用来影响迁移决策和迁移地点来填补这一重要空白。我们有两个目标。首先，我们将研究观念因素如何影响一个地区的移民率、移民目的地以及那些首先在国内移民的人随后的国际移民率。其次，我们将研究观念因素如何在个人、家庭和社区层面上与社会经济、人口、家庭和移民特定资本因素相互作用，从而影响移民。我们将通过对尼泊尔奇旺河谷家庭研究（CVFS）现有数据的分析来实现这些目标。2008年，CVFS从12-59岁的尼泊尔人样本中收集了广泛的社会经济、观念、家庭和人口统计信息。从2008年到2012年，对移民和非移民的后续个人访谈以及后续家庭访谈收集了更多信息。这些访谈确定了研究参与者的居住信息，提供了完整的迁移历史，包括每次迁移的月份和年份以及迁移的目的地。这项前瞻性小组研究提供了尼泊尔人的大样本以及影响他们生活的观念、社会经济、人口、家庭和移民特定资本力量的全面观点。有了关于地理迁移的连续时间序列的详细信息，我们将能够研究这些因素对迁移的多个维度的影响。我们将使用复杂的分析技术，包括事件历史模型、嵌套逻辑回归和潜在阶级轨迹分析，来研究这种移民的观念-社会经济-家庭模型。我们的团队在尼泊尔的研究和使用特别适合于这类数据和实质性问题的统计技术方面经验丰富，并将利用它们对移民的思想和社会经济影响提供无与伦比的见解。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This is a proposal to investigate the influence of ideational factors - values and beliefs - on domestic and international migration in Nepal. We have identified many ideational factors that are hypothesized to have significant influences on migration, including the decision to leave an area and where to relocate. Ideational influences can also interact with socioeconomic and demographic factors, family processes, and migration- specific capital in influencing migration. Unfortunately, most migration studies have focused almost exclusively on socioeconomic factors, and there is little understanding of the influence of values and beliefs on migration. Our project is designed to fill this important gap by focusing on values and beliefs and how they interact with socioeconomic forces to influence the decision to migrate and where to migrate. We have two aims. First, we will examine how ideational factors influence the rate of migration out of an area, the migration destination, and the rate of subsequent international migration for those who first migrate domestically. Second, we will investigate how ideational factors interact with socioeconomic, demographic, familial, and migration-specific capital factors at the individual, household, and community levels to influence migration. We will achieve these aims through an analysis of existing data from the Chitwan Valley Family Study (CVFS) in Nepal. In 2008, the CVFS collected extensive socioeconomic, ideational, familial, and demographic information from a sample of Nepalis ages 12-59. From 2008 through 2012, follow-up individual interviews with both migrants and non-migrants collected additional information, as did follow-up household interviews. These interviews ascertained residential information about study participants, providing complete migration histories, including the month and year of each move and the destination of that move. This prospective panel study provides a comprehensive view of a large sample of Nepalis and the ideational, socioeconomic, demographic, familial, and migration-specific capital forces that influence their lives. Having a continuous time series of detailed information about geographical moves, we will be able to study the influences of these factors on multiple dimensions of migration. We will investigate this ideational-socioeconomic-family model of migration using sophisticated analytic techniques, including event history models, nested logistic regression, and latent class trajectory analysis. Our team is experienced with research in Nepal and in using statistical techniques especially suited to these kinds of data and substantive issues, and will use them to provide unparalleled insights into ideational and socioeconomic influences on migration.