Longitudinal brain changes in first-episode psychosis: A 10 year follow-up MRI study

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It is now widely accepted that schizophrenia is associated with changes in the structure of the brain. Until recently these structural changes were considered to predate the onset of illness and to remain static. However, our own work has suggested an alternative model, which relates schizophrenia to brain changes at specific life stages. In order to demonstrate this, we intend to acquire repeat brain images on 100 patients who were initially scanned 10 years ago at the start of their psychotic illness. This would be the largest follow-up study of first episode psychosis in the world, with the longest interval between the first and second brain scan. Further, for a proportion of patients we will have 3 MRI scans, at illness onset, 2-4 years post-onset, followed by a third scan at 10 years, thereby providing unique follow-up brain imaging data. Based on our own and other research, we intend to explore the relationship between progressive brain change over a ten year period and: (i) the diagnosis of the patient (schizophrenia or other disorder), (ii) the clinical and functional outcome of the patient (still chronically ill or with no further episode of psychosis), and (iii) the cognitive state of the patient (their ability to perform well on tests of memory, planning and so on). We are able to conduct this study because of the existence of an infrastructure developed to follow-up patients, with a recontact rate of 70% of those patients admitted in 1992 and 1993. In this study we seek to implement these strategies for the patients identified after 1994. The results of this study will test our ideas derived from our model of the major psychotic illnesses and may identify the structural brain changes which are associated with the development of chronic schizophrenia and other psychoses. A further novel outcome will be the inclusion of patients who have remained well and identiifying the structural correlates of a good prognosis.