Monitoring the Future: A Cohort-Sequential Panel Study of Drug Use, Ages 19-55

监测未来：19-55 岁吸毒情况队列序贯小组研究

• 批准号: 8840203
• 负责人: LLOYD D JOHNSTON
• 金额: $ 195万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2003
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2003-09-30 至 2016-04-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/8840203
• 关键词: 21 year old; AIDS/HIV problem; Address; Adolescence; Adolescent; Adolescent and Young Adult; Adult; Affect; Age; Alcohol consumption; Alcohol or Other Drugs use; Alcoholic Beverages; Alcohols; American; Americas; Annual Reports; Attitude; Basic Science; Behavior; Belief; Categories; Characteristics; Cigarette; Cohort Analysis; Cohort Effect; Cohort Studies; Communities; Companions; Data; Data Analyses; Data Collection; Development; Drug Addiction; Drug Prescriptions; Drug abuse; Drug usage; Epidemiology; Ethnic Origin; Event; Funding; Future; Gender; General Population; Goals; Health; Health Status; Heterogeneity; Home environment; Illicit Drugs; Individual; Injection of therapeutic agent; Internet; Knowledge; Label; Legal; Life Cycle Stages; Longitudinal Studies; Measurement; Mental Health; Methods; Monitor; Morbidity - disease rate; National Institute of Drug Abuse; National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism; Natural experiment; Occupational; Online Systems; Pattern; Performance; Personal Satisfaction; Pharmaceutical Preparations; Policies; Policy Research; Prevention; Prevention strategy; Price; Race; Recording of previous events; Regulation; Reporting; Research; Research Personnel; Research Project Grants; Risk; Risk Behaviors; Role; Sampling; Schools; Smoking; Social Environment; Socioeconomic Status; Source; Subgroup; Substance abuse problem; Sum; Surveys; Techniques; Tobacco; Tobacco use; Variant; Work; adolescent substance use; cohort; college; data sharing; design; drinking; experience; follow-up; high school; impaired driving performance; innovation; interest; longitudinal design; middle age; mortality; novel strategies; peer; physical conditioning; programs; protective behavior; research study; response; social; transmission process; trend; twelfth grade; university student; young adult

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This application seeks a five-year continuation of the panel data collections of the Monitoring the Future (MTF) study, an ongoing epidemiological and etiological research and reporting project begun in 1975. In addition to being a basic research study, MTF has become one of the nations most relied upon sources of information on trends in illicit drug, alcohol, and tobacco use among American adolescents, college students, and young and middle-aged adults. This application seeks continuation of the mail follow-up surveys of high school graduates (augmented with internet options) at modal ages 19-30, 35, 40, 45, 50, and now 55. The companion "main" application seeks to continue the in-school data collections and to support the analysis of all of the data in the study, including past and future panel data. (NIDA requests that the study seek continuation funding through two separate applications, as it has done in the last two rounds.) The study's cohort-sequential longitudinal design permits the measurement and differentiation of three types of change-age (developmental), period (historical), and cohort. Each has different determinants, and all three types of change have been shown by MTF to occur for most drugs. Factors that may explain historical trends and cohort differences also are monitored. MTF is designed to document the developmental history and consequences of drug use and related attitudes from adolescence through middle adulthood, and to determine the individual and contextual characteristics and social role transitions that affect use and related attitudes. Research on risk and protective behaviors for the transmission of HIV/AIDS among adults ages 21-40 also will be continued. All of this work will be extended to new years, cohorts, and ages under this application and the companion main application. The study will examine the importance of many hypothesized determinants of drug use (including attitudes and beliefs and access), as well as a range of potential consequences (including physical and psychological health, status attainment, role performance, and drug abuse and dependence). Impacts of some policy changes on adolescents and young adults will be evaluated, including those of the new FDA cigarette labeling requirements. MTF will experiment with the use of internet response methods and pursue several new approaches to making its panel data more accessible to other investigators. The study's very broad measurement covers (a) initiation, use, and cessation for over 50 categories and sub-categories of licit and illicit drugs, including alcohol and tobacco; (b) attitudes and beliefs about many of them, perceived availability, and peer norms; (c) other behaviors and individual characteristics; (d) aspects of key social environments (home, work, school) and social role statuses and transitions; and (e) risk and protective behaviors related to the spread of HIV/AIDS. Results will continue to elucidate drug use from adolescence through middle adulthood-including the introduction of new drugs-with major implications for the policy, research, prevention, and treatment agendas.

描述（由申请人提供）：本申请寻求对“监测未来”（MTF）研究的面板数据收集进行五年的延续，该研究是一项于 1975 年开始的持续流行病学和病因学研究和报告项目。除了作为一项基础研究外，MTF 已成为美国最依赖的有关美国青少年、大学生和年轻人中非法药物、酒精和烟草使用趋势的信息来源之一。 中年成年人。该应用程序旨在继续对 19-30、35、40、45、50 岁和现在 55 岁的高中毕业生进行邮件跟踪调查（通过互联网选​​项进行增强）。配套的“主要”应用程序旨在继续收集校内数据，并支持对研究中所有数据（包括过去和未来的面板数据）的分析。 （NIDA 要求该研究通过两个单独的申请寻求持续资助，就像在过去两轮中所做的那样。）该研究的队列序列纵向设计允许测量和区分三种类型的变化年龄（发育）、时期（历史）和队列。每一种都有不同的决定因素，MTF 表明大多数药物都会发生所有三种类型的变化。还监测可以解释历史趋势和群体差异的因素。 MTF 旨在记录从青春期到成年中期吸毒的发展历史和后果以及相关态度，并确定影响吸毒和相关态度的个人和背景特征以及社会角色转变。对 21-40 岁成年人中艾滋病毒/艾滋病传播的风险和保护行为的研究也将继续进行。所有这些工作都将扩展到本应用程序和配套主应用程序下的新年份、群组和年龄。该研究将检验许多假设的吸毒决定因素（包括态度、信仰和获取）的重要性，以及一系列潜在后果（包括身心健康、地位获得、角色表现以及药物滥用和依赖）。将评估一些政策变化对青少年和年轻人的影响，包括新的 FDA 卷烟标签要求。 MTF 将尝试使用互联网响应方法，并寻求几种新方法，使其他调查人员更容易获取其面板数据。 该研究的测量范围非常广泛，涵盖 (a) 50 多个类别和子类别的合法和非法药物（包括酒精和烟草）的开始、使用和戒断； (b) 对其中许多人的态度和信念、感知的可用性和同伴规范； (c) 其他行为和个人特征； (d) 主要社会环境（家庭、工作、学校）以及社会角色状态和转变的各个方面； (e) 与艾滋病毒/艾滋病传播有关的风险和保护行为。结果将继续阐明从青春期到成年中期的药物使用情况（包括新药的引入），对政策、研究、预防和治疗议程产生重大影响。