Better targeting of preventive services using epidemiological modelling

使用流行病学模型更好地确定预防服务的针对性

• 批准号: nhmrc : 465130
• 负责人: Prof Anna Peeters
• 金额: $ 130.12万
• 依托单位: Monash University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: NHMRC Strategic Awards
• 财政年份: 2007
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2007-01-01 至 2013-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://researchdata.edu.au/better-targeting-preventive-epidemiological-modelling/82981
• 关键词: Better; targeting; preventive; services; using

The purpose of this program of research is to improve the effectiveness of chronic disease prevention in Australia. The focus is to develop epidemiological models that can assist policy-makers to make more informed choices of which preventive programs to fund, improve the ability of clinicians to provide accurate preventive advice and to increase the ability of consumers to make decisions about preventive activities (that may relate to themselves or their communities). Australian population trends over coming years will be dominated by increasing numbers of elderly and a continuing increase in average lifespan. A priority for preventive healthcare is to maintain the elderly in a healthy active state, free of chronic disease, for as long as possible. Options to achieve this are increasing but vary in terms of likely effectiveness and cost-effectiveness. Since many of the costs and benefits of preventive programs occur beyond the time-scale of major intervention trials, the prediction of long-term benefits requires the integration of information from multiple sources including trials, epidemiological studies, risk-factor surveys and demography through a process referred to as epidemiological modelling. This project has major relevance to consumers, allied health professionals and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people. One outcome of the project will be to allow consumers to make informed decisions about their preventive health care and will assist allied health professionals providing preventive advice to patients. These include occupational health nurses, health promotion officers, Aboriginal health workers and nurse practitioners.

这项研究计划的目的是提高澳大利亚慢性病预防的有效性。重点是开发流行病学模型，帮助决策者更明智地选择资助哪些预防方案，提高临床医生提供准确预防建议的能力，并提高消费者对预防活动（可能与他们自己或他们的社区有关）做出决定的能力。未来几年，澳大利亚人口趋势将主要是老年人数量的增加和平均寿命的持续延长。预防性保健的一个优先事项是尽可能长时间地使老年人保持健康活跃的状态，不患慢性病。实现这一目标的备选方案正在增加，但在可能的有效性和成本效益方面各不相同。由于预防方案的许多成本和效益发生在重大干预试验的时间范围之外，因此预测长期效益需要通过称为流行病学建模的过程整合来自多个来源的信息，包括试验、流行病学研究、风险因素调查和人口统计学。该项目对消费者、专职保健人员以及土著居民和托雷斯海峡岛民具有重大意义。该项目的成果之一将是使消费者能够就其预防保健作出知情决定，并将协助专职保健人员向患者提供预防咨询。这些人员包括职业保健护士、健康促进官员、土著保健工作者和执业护士。