Statistical and Numerical Modelling of Volcanic Eruption Processes

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The main long-term objectives of the proposed research program are to carry out comprehensive statistical analyses of temporal and spatial aspects of volcanism on Earth, volcanic landforms on the other planetary bodies of the solar system and to develop a physically realistic numerical model to simulate volcanic eruption processes. The computer model will be tested and calibrated against observations in order to validate and discriminate between various physical mechanisms controlling the volcanic eruptions. This will allow us to gain a better understanding of the physics of eruption processes and is crucial from the volcanic hazard assessment and mitigation points of view where probabilistic forecasting plays an essential role.