Modeling Life in the Future Ocean

模拟未来海洋中的生命

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2014-05782
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    加拿大
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
  • 财政年份:
    2018
  • 资助国家:
    加拿大
  • 起止时间:
    2018-01-01 至 2019-12-31
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

The Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) has sparked the development of an ensemble of global models to analyze how climate change impacts our environment. The focus of this has been on environmental parameters (temperature, pH, etc.) while there up to now has been but little research on how climate change may impact life on earth at the global scale. For terrestrial systems this has been followed up with models for how climate change combined with land use patterns may be impacting future global biodiversity, but similar analysis for the oceans are still wanting. **The oceans supply us with seafood, among many other services, and there have been serious declines in fish populations over the last century due to overexploitation. As a result, the oceans now supply less seafood than they did in the peak fish years around 1980 even though fishing capacity has continued to increase globally. We fish more, but catch less. Adding to the problem is that the productivity of the world ocean may become seriously impacted by climate change. **The few existing predictions point to widespread redistributions of fish species, generally in polar directions, and that overall productivity will decline, especially in the tropic. These projections are based on modeling with mainly physiological constraints but with no considerations for how ecological interactions, top-down and bottom-up forces impact seafood production. In essence, it is not clear how the redistributions of predator and prey species will impact their productivity, nor is the potential impacts of management interactions or changes in ocean productivity patterns. We have learned though from regional ecosystem studies that to replicate population trends over time we have to consider all of these factors in concert; hence they should also be considered for modeling at the global level. **It is the intention through this Discovery Grant to develop and apply an ecosystem model of the global ocean that considers environmental productivity, food web and fisheries effects, and to test alternative hypotheses for key ecological and modeling processes. The global model is designed to provide plausible predictions for how future seafood production may be impacted by climate change and of the likelihood that alternative mitigation measures may be successful. The underlying theme for the research is to address the question: Will there be seafood and a healthy ocean for future generations to enjoy?
政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)已经启动了一系列全球模型的开发,以分析气候变化如何影响我们的环境。其重点是环境参数(温度、pH值等)。而迄今为止,关于气候变化如何在全球范围内影响地球上的生命的研究却很少。对于陆地系统,这已经被用于气候变化与土地利用模式相结合如何影响未来全球生物多样性的模型,但海洋的类似分析仍然需要。** 海洋为我们提供海产品和其他许多服务,由于过度开发,上个世纪鱼类数量严重下降。因此,尽管全球捕捞能力继续增加,但海洋现在提供的海产品比1980年左右的高峰捕鱼年少。 我们捕的鱼越来越多,但捕获的却越来越少。更糟糕的是,全球海洋的生产力可能会受到气候变化的严重影响。** 现有的几个预测指出,鱼类物种普遍重新分布,通常是在极地方向,总体生产力将下降,特别是在热带地区。 这些预测主要基于生理约束的建模,但没有考虑生态相互作用,自上而下和自下而上的力量如何影响海产品生产。从本质上讲,不清楚捕食者和被捕食者物种的重新分布将如何影响其生产力,也不清楚管理互动或海洋生产力模式变化的潜在影响。我们从区域生态系统研究中了解到,为了复制人口随时间的趋势,我们必须一致考虑所有这些因素;因此,在全球层面上建模时也应该考虑这些因素。** 通过这项发现补助金,旨在开发和应用一个考虑环境生产力,食物网和渔业影响的全球海洋生态系统模型,并测试关键生态和建模过程的替代假设。全球模型旨在提供合理的预测,说明未来海产品生产可能如何受到气候变化的影响,以及替代减缓措施可能取得成功的可能性。这项研究的基本主题是解决这样一个问题:将来会有海鲜和健康的海洋供后代享用吗?

项目成果

期刊论文数量(0)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)

数据更新时间:{{ journalArticles.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
  • DOI:
    {{ item.doi }}
  • 发表时间:
    {{ item.publish_year }}
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    {{ item.factor }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.authors }}
  • 通讯作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ journalArticles.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ monograph.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ sciAawards.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ conferencePapers.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ patent.updateTime }}

Christensen, Villy其他文献

Riverine and early ocean migration and mortality patterns of juvenile steelhead trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) from the Cheakamus River, British Columbia
  • DOI:
    10.1007/s10750-006-0541-1
  • 发表时间:
    2007-05-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    2.6
  • 作者:
    Melnychuk, Michael C.;Welch, David W.;Christensen, Villy
  • 通讯作者:
    Christensen, Villy
Trophic flow kinetics in marine ecosystems: Toward a theoretical approach to ecosystem functioning
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.05.012
  • 发表时间:
    2008-09-24
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    3.1
  • 作者:
    Gascuel, Didier;Morissette, Lyne;Christensen, Villy
  • 通讯作者:
    Christensen, Villy
Predicted impact of the invasive lionfish Pterois volitans on the food web of a Caribbean coral reef
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.envres.2011.07.008
  • 发表时间:
    2011-10-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    8.3
  • 作者:
    Ernesto Arias-Gonzalez, Jesus;Gonzalez-Gandara, Carlos;Christensen, Villy
  • 通讯作者:
    Christensen, Villy
Modelling the cumulative spatial-temporal effects of environmental drivers and fishing in a NW Mediterranean marine ecosystem
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.03.020
  • 发表时间:
    2016-07-10
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    3.1
  • 作者:
    Coll, Marta;Steenbeek, Jeroen;Christensen, Villy
  • 通讯作者:
    Christensen, Villy
Cascading social-ecological costs and benefits triggered by a recovering keystone predator
  • DOI:
    10.1126/science.aay5342
  • 发表时间:
    2020-06-12
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    56.9
  • 作者:
    Gregr, Edward J.;Christensen, Villy;Chan, Kai M. A.
  • 通讯作者:
    Chan, Kai M. A.

Christensen, Villy的其他文献

{{ item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
  • DOI:
    {{ item.doi }}
  • 发表时间:
    {{ item.publish_year }}
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    {{ item.factor }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.authors }}
  • 通讯作者:
    {{ item.author }}

{{ truncateString('Christensen, Villy', 18)}}的其他基金

Evaluating future scenarios for the global ocean
评估全球海洋的未来情景
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-04901
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Evaluating future scenarios for the global ocean
评估全球海洋的未来情景
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-04901
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Evaluating future scenarios for the global ocean
评估全球海洋的未来情景
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-04901
  • 财政年份:
    2020
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Evaluating future scenarios for the global ocean
评估全球海洋的未来情景
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-04901
  • 财政年份:
    2019
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Modeling Life in the Future Ocean
模拟未来海洋中的生命
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2014-05782
  • 财政年份:
    2017
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Modeling Life in the Future Ocean
模拟未来海洋中的生命
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2014-05782
  • 财政年份:
    2016
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Modeling Life in the Future Ocean
模拟未来海洋中的生命
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2014-05782
  • 财政年份:
    2015
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Modeling Life in the Future Ocean
模拟未来海洋中的生命
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2014-05782
  • 财政年份:
    2014
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Linking fisheries research to oceanography and climate change research
将渔业研究与海洋学和气候变化研究联系起来
  • 批准号:
    311710-2007
  • 财政年份:
    2012
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Linking fisheries research to oceanography and climate change research
将渔业研究与海洋学和气候变化研究联系起来
  • 批准号:
    311710-2007
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual

相似国自然基金

自支撑LiFe5O8外延薄膜的弯曲磁结构解析与微磁学仿真研究
  • 批准号:
  • 批准年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    30 万元
  • 项目类别:
    青年科学基金项目
LiFE 项目在非手术住院后老年人群中的衰弱干预效果研究:一项随机对照试验
  • 批准号:
    2021JJ40798
  • 批准年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    0.0 万元
  • 项目类别:
    省市级项目
SCIENCE CHINA Life Sciences (中国科学 生命科学)
  • 批准号:
    81024803
  • 批准年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    24.0 万元
  • 项目类别:
    专项基金项目
运用Life-course方法纵向研究婴幼儿龋发病危险因素
  • 批准号:
    30872875
  • 批准年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    25.0 万元
  • 项目类别:
    面上项目

相似海外基金

Rules of life in CO2-driven microbial communities: Microbiome engineering for a Net Zero future
二氧化碳驱动的微生物群落的生命规则:净零未来的微生物组工程
  • 批准号:
    BB/Y003195/1
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
Understanding mycorrhizal associations to ensure the best start in life for trees, their carbon balance and future resilience
了解菌根关联,以确保树木生命的最佳开端、碳平衡和未来的恢复力
  • 批准号:
    2892622
  • 财政年份:
    2023
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Studentship
Future Families: Climate Justice, Intimate Life and the Adaptation of the Human
未来家庭:气候正义、亲密生活和人类的适应
  • 批准号:
    ES/Y007565/1
  • 财政年份:
    2023
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Fellowship
The Future That Grows on Trees - Studying the social life of climate change mitigation through forests
树上生长的未来——研究通过森林减缓气候变化的社会生活
  • 批准号:
    2751282
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Studentship
Understanding the Rules of Life Program: Scientific Advancements and Future Opportunities
了解生命规则计划:科学进步和未来机遇
  • 批准号:
    2227810
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
How Do Citizens Think About the Future? The Nature, Origins and Role of Expectations in Political Life
公民如何看待未来?
  • 批准号:
    ES/X007367/1
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Fellowship
Guided Episodic Future Thinking to Increase Physical Activity Adherence and Promote Healthy Brain Aging Among Mid-Life Adults
引导情景未来思维,提高中年成年人体育活动的坚持并促进健康的大脑老化
  • 批准号:
    10897376
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
Second life batteries for future applications (Batt2TheFuture)
面向未来应用的二次电池 (Batt2TheFuture)
  • 批准号:
    107302
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    BEIS-Funded Programmes
Testing the Efficacy of ACT for Life: A Brief Inpatient Intervention to Maximize Recovery and Prevent Future Suicidal Behavior
测试 ACT 的终生功效:简短的住院干预,以最大限度地恢复并防止未来的自杀行为
  • 批准号:
    10396473
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
Data driven life science skills development - equipping society for the future
数据驱动的生命科学技能发展——为未来的社会做好准备
  • 批准号:
    MR/V039075/1
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    $ 1.97万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
{{ showInfoDetail.title }}

作者:{{ showInfoDetail.author }}

知道了