Understanding and Projecting Change in the Marine Environment on Intraseasonal and Climate Time Scales

了解和预测海洋环境在季节内和气候时间尺度上的变化

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    42414-2013
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    加拿大
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
  • 财政年份:
    2019
  • 资助国家:
    加拿大
  • 起止时间:
    2019-01-01 至 2020-12-31
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

The goal of the research is to better understand how the atmosphere and ocean interact on time scales of days to a season, and project how the ocean may change over the next hundred years. This goal will be reached by the synergistic application of new statistical methods and dynamically-based models of the ocean. The research will focus primarily on physical variables but the impact of ocean changes on the spatial distribution and migration of several marine species will be examined.The research is organized under two themes. The first theme focuses on the marine impacts of climate change. It includes the projection of coastal flooding, and also the projection of ocean temperature, salinity and circulation to local scales (downscaling) and their influence on the distribution and movement of marine animals. An important goal of this theme is to quantify uncertainty in the projections of physical change and their impacts. The second theme focuses on global modes of variability of the atmosphere-ocean system on time scales of days to a season. It will be based primarily on observations but will use dynamical models to interpret the results.The proposed research is of both practical and scientific significance. It will lead to more realistic projections of the probability of coastal flooding over the next century that explicitly take into account the uncertainty in future global sea level and storminess. The results will be of practical interest to coastal engineers, coastal managers and policy makers. The downscaling of projections of ocean conditions will give a better understanding of the local expression of global change. The empirical associations between global scale patterns of atmosphere-ocean variables, and their interpretation in terms of physical mechanisms, will be useful in extending the useful range of subseasonal forecast systems.
这项研究的目的是更好地了解大气和海洋如何在几天到一个季节的时间尺度上相互作用,并预测海洋在未来一百年内可能如何变化。这一目标将通过协同应用新的统计方法和海洋动态模型来实现。 这项研究将主要集中在物理变量上,但也将审查海洋变化对若干海洋物种的空间分布和迁移的影响。第一个主题侧重于气候变化对海洋的影响。它包括预测沿海洪水,以及预测局部尺度的海洋温度、盐度和环流(缩小尺度)及其对海洋动物分布和移动的影响。这一主题的一个重要目标是量化物理变化及其影响预测中的不确定性。第二个主题侧重于从天到季节的时间尺度上大气-海洋系统的全球变化模式。这项研究将主要基于观测,但将使用动力学模型来解释结果。拟议的研究具有实际和科学意义。它将导致对下一个世纪沿海洪水可能性的更现实的预测,其中明确考虑到未来全球海平面和风暴的不确定性。研究结果将对海岸工程师、海岸管理者和政策制定者具有实际意义。缩小海洋状况预测的尺度将使人们更好地了解全球变化在当地的表现形式。全球尺度大气-海洋变量模式之间的经验联系及其在物理机制方面的解释,将有助于扩大亚季节预报系统的有用范围。

项目成果

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Thompson, Keith其他文献

Statin use prior to angiography for the prevention of contrast-induced acute kidney injury: a meta-analysis of 19 randomised trials
  • DOI:
    10.4244/eijy15m05_03
  • 发表时间:
    2016-06-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    6.2
  • 作者:
    Thompson, Keith;Razi, Rabia;Brar, Somjot S.
  • 通讯作者:
    Brar, Somjot S.
Development of bone seeker ?functionalised microspheres as a targeted local antibiotic delivery system for bone infections
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.jot.2019.07.006
  • 发表时间:
    2020-03-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    6.6
  • 作者:
    Rotman, Stijn G.;Thompson, Keith;Guillaume, Olivier
  • 通讯作者:
    Guillaume, Olivier
Molecular mechanisms of action of bisphosphonates: Current status
  • DOI:
    10.1158/1078-0432.ccr-06-0843
  • 发表时间:
    2006-10-15
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    11.5
  • 作者:
    Roelofs, Anke J.;Thompson, Keith;Rogers, Michael J.
  • 通讯作者:
    Rogers, Michael J.
Visualizing mineral binding and uptake of bisphosphonate by osteoclasts and non-resorbing cells
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.bone.2007.12.225
  • 发表时间:
    2008-05-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    4.1
  • 作者:
    Coxon, Fraser P.;Thompson, Keith;Rogers, Michael J.
  • 通讯作者:
    Rogers, Michael J.
Imaging of arsenic Cottrell atmospheres around silicon defects by three-dimensional atom probe tomography
  • DOI:
    10.1126/science.1145428
  • 发表时间:
    2007-09-07
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    56.9
  • 作者:
    Thompson, Keith;Flaitz, Philip L.;Kelly, Thomas F.
  • 通讯作者:
    Kelly, Thomas F.

Thompson, Keith的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('Thompson, Keith', 18)}}的其他基金

Understanding and Projecting Change in the Marine Environment on Intraseasonal and Climate Time Scales
了解和预测海洋环境在季节内和气候时间尺度上的变化
  • 批准号:
    42414-2013
  • 财政年份:
    2016
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Marine Prediction and Environmental Statistics
海洋预测和环境统计
  • 批准号:
    1210043-2008
  • 财政年份:
    2015
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Canada Research Chairs
Understanding and Projecting Change in the Marine Environment on Intraseasonal and Climate Time Scales
了解和预测海洋环境在季节内和气候时间尺度上的变化
  • 批准号:
    42414-2013
  • 财政年份:
    2015
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Marine Prediction and Environmental Statistics
海洋预测和环境统计
  • 批准号:
    1000210043-2008
  • 财政年份:
    2014
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Canada Research Chairs
Understanding and Projecting Change in the Marine Environment on Intraseasonal and Climate Time Scales
了解和预测海洋环境在季节内和气候时间尺度上的变化
  • 批准号:
    42414-2013
  • 财政年份:
    2014
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Marine Prediction and Environmental Statistics
海洋预测和环境统计
  • 批准号:
    1000210043-2008
  • 财政年份:
    2013
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Canada Research Chairs
Understanding and Projecting Change in the Marine Environment on Intraseasonal and Climate Time Scales
了解和预测海洋环境在季节内和气候时间尺度上的变化
  • 批准号:
    42414-2013
  • 财政年份:
    2013
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Marine Prediction and Environmental Statistics
海洋预测和环境统计
  • 批准号:
    1000210043-2008
  • 财政年份:
    2012
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Canada Research Chairs
Marine Prediction and Environmental Statistics
海洋预测和环境统计
  • 批准号:
    1000210043-2008
  • 财政年份:
    2011
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Canada Research Chairs
Assimilation of data into coupled-atmosphere-ocean-shelf models
将数据同化为大气-洋架耦合模型
  • 批准号:
    42414-2007
  • 财政年份:
    2011
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.91万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual

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Understanding and Projecting Change in the Marine Environment on Intraseasonal and Climate Time Scales
了解和预测海洋环境在季节内和气候时间尺度上的变化
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