Methods and Tools to Strengthen Transit System Resilience

增强交通系统弹性的方法和工具

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-06885
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    加拿大
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助国家:
    加拿大
  • 起止时间:
    2022-01-01 至 2023-12-31
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

Transit riders dislike nothing in their journeys more than long delays and overcrowding of transit vehicles, according to the results of most rider satisfaction surveys around the world. Many factors can cause transit delays, ranging from minor perturbations in the operating environment all the way to major incidents due to emergencies or system failure. In Toronto, the subway system alone is afflicted by more than 12000 incidents/year, approximately 1000 of which are considered "major". Transit delays often exacerbate overcrowding, and the opposite is also true. The cost to users and the operator can be enormous. One recent study estimated the economic cost of user delays due to subway incidents in New York to be upward of 389 million USD annually. This research program is aimed directly at tackling the problems of delays and overcrowding in large multi-modal transit systems. It adopts a broad, multi-faceted approach which will produce solutions for demand management, supply management and flow management, all aimed consistently and coherently at alleviating transit delays and overcrowding, particularly in subway systems. To manage demand, our research will develop innovative incentive-based programs which offer reward points to transit riders who switch away from overcrowded spots and times. Incentive-based and loyalty programs have been applied effectively to a variety of other services and industries, and while they are slowly being introduced to public transit they require supporting empirical tools to maximize their effectiveness. These tools will be developed in this research. To manage supply, specifically in the event of a major disruption to subway service, we will develop a system of models and tools to help transit agencies deploy effective shuttle bus services to fill the gap in subway service. In more specific terms, we will develop analytics to predict in real-time the expected duration of any given subway incident, and we will determine the optimal number of buses and which routes these buses should be pulled from for dispatching to the disrupted subway section such that total delays are minimized. The third major track of this research is concerned with managing the flows of passengers into all stations of a subway line to avoid capacity loss due to overcrowding. This will be achieved through creative scheduling of the bus and streetcar feeder lines connecting with the subway line, along with a real-time control strategy to avoid oversaturation at any given station. The proposed solutions will be developed using the rich and diverse data on transit operations and demand which are now available abundantly. Founded in sound theory, the proposed models will be built using rigorous and new modelling approaches. The proposed research is likely to have a transformative effect on transit resilience policy and technologies.
根据世界各地大多数乘客满意度调查的结果,公共交通乘客最不喜欢的就是长时间的延误和交通工具的拥挤。许多因素都可能导致运输延误,从运行环境中的微小扰动到紧急情况或系统故障造成的重大事件。在多伦多,仅地铁系统每年就会发生12000多起事故,其中大约1000起被认为是“重大”事故。交通延误往往会加剧拥挤,反之亦然。用户和运营商的成本可能是巨大的。最近的一项研究估计,由于纽约地铁事故导致的用户延误的经济成本每年高达3.89亿美元。这个研究项目的目的是直接解决大型多式联运系统中的延误和过度拥挤问题。它采用了一种广泛的、多方面的方法,将为需求管理、供应管理和流量管理提供解决方案,所有这些都旨在一致和连贯地减轻交通延误和过度拥挤,特别是在地铁系统中。为了管理需求,我们的研究将开发创新的基于激励的项目,为那些离开拥挤的地点和时间的公交乘客提供奖励积分。基于激励和忠诚度的计划已经有效地应用于各种其他服务和行业,虽然它们正在缓慢地引入公共交通,但它们需要支持经验工具来最大化其有效性。这些工具将在本研究中得到发展。为了管理供应,特别是在地铁服务严重中断的情况下,我们将开发一套模型和工具系统,帮助运输机构部署有效的穿梭巴士服务,以填补地铁服务的空白。更具体地说,我们将开发分析来实时预测任何给定地铁事件的预期持续时间,我们将确定公共汽车的最佳数量,以及这些公共汽车应该从哪条路线调派到中断的地铁路段,以最大限度地减少总延误。本研究的第三个主要方向是管理地铁线路所有车站的乘客流量,以避免因过度拥挤而造成的容量损失。这将通过与地铁线路连接的公共汽车和有轨电车馈线的创造性调度以及实时控制策略来实现,以避免任何给定站点的过饱和。拟议的解决办法将利用现有的丰富多样的过境业务和需求数据来制定。建立在健全的理论,提出的模型将建立使用严格的和新的建模方法。拟议的研究可能会对交通弹性政策和技术产生变革性影响。

项目成果

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Shalaby, Amer其他文献

Supporting sustainable system adoption: Socio-semantic analysis of transit rider debates on social media
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.scs.2017.12.025
  • 发表时间:
    2018-04-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    11.7
  • 作者:
    Hosseini, Moein;El-Diraby, Tamer;Shalaby, Amer
  • 通讯作者:
    Shalaby, Amer
The rise and fall of transit ridership across Canada: Understanding the determinants
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.tranpol.2020.07.002
  • 发表时间:
    2020-09-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    6.8
  • 作者:
    Diab, Ehab;Kasraian, Dena;Shalaby, Amer
  • 通讯作者:
    Shalaby, Amer
Microscopic modeling of large-scale pedestrian-vehicle conflicts in the city of Madinah, Saudi Arabia
  • DOI:
    10.1002/atr.1201
  • 发表时间:
    2014-10-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    2.3
  • 作者:
    Abdelgawad, Hossam;Shalaby, Amer;Gutub, Adnan Abdul-Aziz
  • 通讯作者:
    Gutub, Adnan Abdul-Aziz
Evaluating transit network resilience through graph theory and demand-elastic measures: Case study of the Toronto transit system
Urban rail service design for collaborative passenger and freight transport

Shalaby, Amer的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('Shalaby, Amer', 18)}}的其他基金

Automated and transformative transportation systems - building the analytical foundation
自动化和变革性运输系统 - 构建分析基础
  • 批准号:
    556295-2020
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Alliance Grants
Methods and Tools to Strengthen Transit System Resilience
增强交通系统弹性的方法和工具
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-06885
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Methods and Tools to Strengthen Transit System Resilience
增强交通系统弹性的方法和工具
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-06885
  • 财政年份:
    2020
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Automated and transformative transportation systems - building the analytical foundation
自动化和变革性运输系统 - 构建分析基础
  • 批准号:
    556295-2020
  • 财政年份:
    2020
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Alliance Grants
Methods and Tools to Strengthen Transit System Resilience
增强交通系统弹性的方法和工具
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2019-06885
  • 财政年份:
    2019
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Joint optimization of route design and schedules for fixed route transit systems
固定路线交通系统的路线设计和班次联合优化
  • 批准号:
    499160-2016
  • 财政年份:
    2018
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Collaborative Research and Development Grants
Towards More Resilient Transit Networks through Monitoring, Targeted Passenger Information and Dynamic Fleet Scheduling
通过监控、有针对性的乘客信息和动态车队调度,打造更具弹性的交通网络
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2014-04911
  • 财政年份:
    2018
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Predictive Analytics of Bus and Streetcar Bunching Occurrence Time for Real-Time Applications
实时应用程序中公交车和有轨电车捆绑发生时间的预测分析
  • 批准号:
    515839-2017
  • 财政年份:
    2017
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Engage Grants Program
Joint optimization of route design and schedules for fixed route transit systems
固定路线交通系统的路线设计和班次联合优化
  • 批准号:
    499160-2016
  • 财政年份:
    2017
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Collaborative Research and Development Grants
Towards More Resilient Transit Networks through Monitoring, Targeted Passenger Information and Dynamic Fleet Scheduling
通过监控、有针对性的乘客信息和动态车队调度,打造更具弹性的交通网络
  • 批准号:
    RGPIN-2014-04911
  • 财政年份:
    2017
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.62万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Grants Program - Individual

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