Power sector investment implications of climate impacts on renewable resources in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Power sector investment implications of climate impacts on renewable resources in Latin America and the Caribbean.
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DOI：
10.1038/s41467-021-21502-y
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发表时间：
2021-02-24
影响因子：
16.6
通讯作者：
Vernon CR
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Santos da Silva SR;Hejazi MI;Iyer G;Wild TB;Binsted M;Miralles-Wilhelm F;Patel P;Snyder AC;Vernon CR
减缓气候变化需要对可再生能源进行大量投资。此外，气候变化将影响未来的可再生能源供应，从而影响电力部门的投资需求。我们使用全球综合评估模型研究了深度脱碳下气候对可再生能源的影响对电力部门投资的影响。我们重点关注拉丁美洲和加勒比地区，这是一个研究不足的地区，但由于其在国际气候缓解和气候变化脆弱性方面的强大作用而引起了极大的兴趣。我们发现，考虑到气候对可再生能源的影响，对于金融基础设施薄弱的地区来说，将导致显著的额外投资（到2100年，拉丁美洲国家将达到120亿至1140亿美元）。我们还表明，气候影响的会计只对水电以往的研究的主要重点显着低估了累计投资，特别是在高间歇性可再生能源部署的情况下。我们的研究强调了全面分析气候对可再生能源影响的重要性，以改善能源规划。需要在可再生能源方面进行大量投资，以减缓气候变化。在这里，作者重点关注拉丁美洲和加勒比地区，发现气候对可再生能源的影响将导致到2100年额外投资120亿至1140亿美元。
Climate change mitigation will require substantial investments in renewables. In addition, climate change will affect future renewable supply and hence, power sector investment requirements. We study the implications of climate impacts on renewables for power sector investments under deep decarbonization using a global integrated assessment model. We focus on Latin American and Caribbean, an under-studied region but of great interest due to its strong role in international climate mitigation and vulnerability to climate change. We find that accounting for climate impacts on renewables results in significant additional investments ($12–114 billion by 2100 across Latin American countries) for a region with weak financial infrastructure. We also demonstrate that accounting for climate impacts only on hydropower—a primary focus of previous studies—significantly underestimates cumulative investments, particularly in scenarios with high intermittent renewable deployment. Our study underscores the importance of comprehensive analyses of climate impacts on renewables for improved energy planning. Substantial investment will be required in renewables to implement climate change mitigation. Here, the authors focus on Latin America and the Caribbean and find that climate impacts on renewables would result in additional investments $12-114 billion by 2100.
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影响因子：
12.8
作者：
Calvin, Katherine V.;Beach, Robert;Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana Maria
通讯作者：
Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana Maria
DOI：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.12.003
发表时间：
2009-05-01
影响因子：
8.9
作者：
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通讯作者：
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影响因子：
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作者：
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影响因子：
30.7
作者：
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通讯作者：
Chester, Mikhail V.
影响因子：
12.8
作者：
Calderon, Silvia;Camilo Alvarez, Andres;Fisher-Vanden, Karen
通讯作者：
Fisher-Vanden, Karen