Numerical Simulation of Rapid Oceanic Cyclogenesis

业务数值预报模式往往预报不足 海洋快速开发的加深速度和强度 旋风 使用国家中心的全球光谱模型 大气研究的首席研究员S。L. 马伦，将进行敏感性实验，通过改变 模型中包含的物理学，降低了模型的准确性。 初始条件，以及改变模型分辨率。 的 该项目的结果应反映统计数据， 炸药研究结果的意义 大部分只涉及一个风暴或一个 数值模拟的特殊方面。

Operational numerical forecast models tend to underforecast the deepening rate and the intensity of rapidly developing marine cyclones. Using the global spectral model of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, the principal investigator, Dr. S. L. Mullen, will conduct sensitivity experiments by varying the physics included in the model, degrading the accuracy of the initial conditions, and changing the model resolution. The results from this project should inform on the statistical significance of the results from previous studies of explosive cyclogenesis which mostly dealt with only one storm or one particular aspect of the numerical simulation.