A Prototype Risk-Management Program for Water Companies in Earthquake Regions

该项目的主要目标是：(1)开发和测试基于风险的计算机化管理模型，该模型为减轻危害、规划供水系统维护和维修提供信息；并制定有关系统可靠性的长期战略和政策；(2)开发和测试一种技术，将风险管理模型的使用扩展到其他地区，考虑到该地区适用的地震和其他灾害。实施两阶段风险管理交付系统将实现以下目标。第一阶段将在肯塔基州路易斯维尔开发和测试风险分析模型，并设计基于大学的风险管理数据服务，以提供最新的风险分析信息和持续咨询。第二阶段将制定和评估一项技术转让战略，目标是位于美国中部地震联盟（CUSEC）组成部分的七个州的供水公司。这个项目将推广到市政供水系统，它带来了一些好处。它将有助于在可能导致系统故障的所有危险条件下实现供水系统的可接受性能。它将提供机会，以更确切地确定系统的哪些要素容易受到地震和其他危险事件的破坏。

The primary objectives of this project are to (1) develop and test a computerized risk-based management model that produces information for hazards mitigation, planning of water supply system maintenance and repair, and for establishing long-range strategy and policy concerning system reliability; and (2) develop and test a technology for expanding the use of the risk management model to other regions, considering earthquake and other hazards applicable to the region. Implementation of a two-phased risk management delivery system will achieve the following objectives. Phase I will develop and test a risk analysis model in Louisville, Kentucky, and design a university-based risk management data service to provide updated risk analysis information and continuous consultation. Phase II will develop and evaluate a technology transfer strategy targeted for water supply companies located in the seven states that are part of the Central United States Earthquake Consortium (CUSEC). This project, which will be disseminated to municipal water supply systems, offers several rewards. It will aid in achieving acceptable performance of water supply systems under all hazard conditions that have the potential to produce breakdown in the system. It will provide the opportunity to determine with greater certainty which elements of the system are subject to breakdown from earthquakes and other hazardous events.