Early Indicators of Later Work Levels, Disease, and Death

这项研究计划的主要目标是创建一种公共使用的磁带，适合于对1861-1865年期间加入联邦军队的39,616名男子的随机样本进行衰老的前瞻性研究。样本中大约有31000人在1870年到1940年间活到了40岁以上。这盘录像带几乎涵盖了新兵的整个生命周期。它将包含关于他们成长的家庭的社会经济特征以及他们在发育阶段生活的地方的特定疾病流行情况的信息；它还将包含他们在服役期间的健康史，包括各种压力测量；它将包含他们的职业、居住和健康史，从他们离开服务日期到他们死亡，以及他们死亡原因的信息。该磁带将为四个分析项目提供基础，其标题为：(1)成长期间的疾病暴露和战争服务；(2)老年发病率和死亡率的早期预测指标；(3)老年劳动力活动的长期趋势；(4)代际和家庭方面的老龄化。这个研究团队是一流的，在他们将要工作的领域里技能平衡，经验丰富。所产生的非凡数据集将允许探索社会经济历史和当前政策中的重要和鲜为人知的问题。此外，所开发的分析工具和关系应该在许多学科中得到广泛的应用。该项目估计费用为3,622,580美元，其中约三分之二由国家老龄问题研究所承担。NIA以外的其他潜在资助者包括国家科学基金会、国家医学图书馆和各种私人来源。它们的捐款加起来应足以保证这个五年项目的财政可行性。

The principal objective of this research program is the creation of a public-use tape suitable for a prospective study of aging in a random sample of 39,616 men mustered into the Union Army during 1861-1865. Approximately 31,000 of the individuals in the sample lived to be age 40 and over between 1870 and 1940. The tape will cover virtually the entire life-cycle of the recruits. It will contain information on the socioeconomic characteristics of the households in which they were reared and of the prevalence of specific diseases in the localities in which they lived during their developmental ages; it will also contain their health histories while in the service, including various measures of stress; and it will contain their occupational, residential, and health histories from the dates they left the service until their deaths, as well as information on the cause of their deaths. The tape will provide the basis for four analytical projects that are titled: (1) Exposure to Disease During Growing Ages and War Service; (2) Early Predictors of Morbidity and Mortality at Later Ages; (3) Secular Trends in Labor Force Activity at Older Ages; (4) Intergenerational and Familial Aspects of Aging. The research team is first-rate, well balanced in skills and experienced in the areas in which they will be working. The extraordinary data set produced will permit the exploration of important and little understood issues in socio-economic history as well as in current policy. In addition, the analytical tools and relationships developed should find extensive use in many disciplines. Approximately, two-thirds of the estimated $3,622,580 cost of the project is being borne by the National Institute of Aging (NIA). Other prospective funders outside NIA include the National Science Foundation, the National Medical Library, and various private sources. Their combined contributions should suffice to assure the financial feasibility of the five-year project.