US-Hungary Research on Prediction of Local Hydrology under Global Climate Change

美国的主要目标是-匈牙利 伊什特万·博加迪博士 内布拉斯加大学林肯分校， 卢西恩·达克斯坦， 亚利桑那州图森市， 厄特沃斯气象局 匈牙利布达佩斯大学， 水文预报方法 受气候波动影响的变量 通过定义一个概率联系， 大气污染的发生和类型 循环模式和（a）当地 降水，（B）洪水事件，（c）干旱 （4）湖泊水位。 与 链接，他们将使用现有的一般 循环模型情景来预测 反映气候的水文量 变化 他们将使用和比较这些 匈牙利两个流域的概念 和美国，研究湖泊水位 匈牙利巴拉顿湖的波动， 犹他州的大盐湖。 结果 应构成水资源的主要投入 资源决策，包括 缓解气候变化的影响 波动和全球变化 水文学 该项目在土木工程中实现了 推进的规划目标 科学知识， 美国和东方的专家 欧洲将联合收割机互补的人才和 集中研究资源， 共同利益和能力。

The primary objective of this U.S.-Hungary research project between Drs. Istvan Bogardi of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, and Lucien Duckstein of the University of Arizona-Tucson, with Dr. Ferenc Rakoczi of the Department of Meteorology, Eotvos University, Budapest, Hungary, is to develop methods to predict local hydrological variables influenced by climate fluctuations by defining a probabilistic linkage between the occurrence and type of atmospheric circulation patterns and (a) local precipitation, (b) flood events, (c) dry periods, and (d) lake levels. With that linkage, they will use available general circulation model scenarios to predict the hydrological quantities reflecting climate change. They will use and compare these concepts to two drainage basins, in Hungary and the U.S., and study lake level fluctuations at Lake Balaton in Hungary and the Great Salt Lake in Utah. The results should constitute a major input into water resources decision-making, including the mitigation of the effects of climate fluctuation and global change on local hydrology. This project in civil engineering fulfills the program objectives of advancing scientific knowledge by enabling leading experts in the United States and Eastern Europe to combine complimentary talents and pool research resources in areas of strong mutual interest and competence.