Strategies to minimise the societal impacts of zoonotic pandemics
Strategies to minimise the societal impacts of zoonotic pandemics
批准号:
DE230100730
负责人:
A/Prof James Trauer
金额:
$31.57万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
澳大利亚
项目类别:
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award
财政年份:
2023
资助国家:
澳大利亚
项目状态:
未结题
起止时间:
2023-01-01 至 2025-12-31
中文摘要
持续的大流行对整个社会产生了前所未有的影响。人口流动限制在减缓传播方面是有效的,但只有在实施时才有效,并产生巨大的不利影响。尽管澳大利亚取得了相对的成功,但我们缺乏一项明确的国家战略来指导这种限制的最佳部署。在此期间,我将使用强大的软件开发实践来开发一个统一的软件平台,该平台集成了半机械式、粒子过滤器和基于代理的方法。然后,我将使用这个平台来量化流动性限制的影响,并定义应该根据新出现的病原体的特征选择的最佳战略反应。
英文摘要
The continuing pandemic has had unprecedented effects across society. Population mobility restrictions have been effective in slowing transmission, but are only effective while in place and have dramatic adverse effects. Despite Australia’s relative success, we have lacked a clear national strategy to guide the optimal deployment of such restrictions. During this fellowship, I will use robust software development practices to develop a unified software platform that integrates semi-mechanistic, particle filter and agent-based methodologies. I will then use this platform to quantify the effects of mobility restrictions and define the optimal strategic response that should be selected based on the characteristics of a newly emerged pathogen.
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