Dynamic Economies and Boundly Rational Agents

;​R o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o4 & & & ！# $ % '() * +, -。/ 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9:；= ?@ A B C D E F G H F Microsoft Word 6.0文档MSWordDoc。6;e = e p p p p p p p 5 1 f T；5 p 5 p p p p p p p本提案由四个相关项目组成。第一个项目是与Drew Fudenberg合作的，涉及完成正在进行的关于游戏中有界理性学习的研究。第二个项目旨在为不确定性厌恶（人们倾向于避免不同结果的概率未知的情况）提供一种公理方法，并将其与令人满意的行为联系起来。这项工作可能有助于解释埃尔斯伯格悖论等谜题。第三个项目是与本特·霍尔姆斯特罗姆（Bent Holmstrom）联合开展的，旨在为社会交易中普遍存在的无担保承诺提供理论基础。第四个项目是私家侦探之前关于不可预见的意外事件的工作的动态扩展。;0 (L p $ H L C:\WORDTEMP\NORMAL。美国交通部部长大卫·克雷普斯·路易斯·费尔南德斯·路易斯·苏苏特是一名美国总统，他是一名美国总统。费尔南德斯@ Y N @ @ Y N @微软Word 6.0 1​-。!!!K @ Normal a c“a @”默认段落字体。路易斯·费尔南德斯C:\ZZ\DECS95\AWARD\KREPS。ABS @佳能BJ-200 LPT1: BJ200佳能BJ-200 D L f E h h D D #佳能BJ-200 D L f E h h D D # 1 Times New Roman Symbol &amp； Arial " h R % R %；大卫·克雷普斯·路易斯·费尔南德斯；

; R o o t E n t r y F V N @ C o m p O b j b W o r d D o c u m e n t O b j e c t P o o l v N v N 4 @ & ! " # $ % ' ( ) * + , - . / 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 : ; = ? @ A B C D E F G H F Microsoft Word 6.0 Document MSWordDoc Word.Document.6 ; e = e p p p p p p p 5 1 f T ; 5 p 5 p p p p p p p p . David Kreps Stanford University SBR-9511208 This proposal consists of four related projects. The first project is joint with Drew Fudenberg and involves the completion of ongoing research on boundedly rational learning in games. The second project aims to provide an axiomatic approach to uncertainty aversion -- the tendency of people to avoid situations in which the probabilities of different outcomes are unknown-- and to link it with satisficing behavior. This work could help account for such puzzles as the Ellsberg paradox. The third project is joint with Bent Holmstrom and will seek to provide a theoretical foundation to the prevalence of unsecured promises in social transactions. The fourth project is a dynamic extension of previous work by the P.I. on unforeseen contingencies. ; Oh +' 0 ( L p $ H l C:\WORDTEMP\NORMAL.DOT David Kreps Luis Fernandez Luis S u m m a r y I n f o r m a t i o n ( Fernandez @ Y N @ @ Y N @ Microsoft Word 6.0 1 - . ! ! ! K @ Normal a c " A@ " Default Paragraph Font . Luis Fernandez C:\ZZ\DECS95\AWARD\KREPS.ABS @Canon BJ-200 LPT1: BJ200 Canon BJ-200 D L f E h h d d # Canon BJ-200 D L f E h h d d # 1 Times New Roman Symbol & Arial " h R % R % ; David Kreps Luis Fernandez Luis Fernandez ;