Collab. Research: Decadal Scale Patterns in Hurricane Activity Over the Last Several Millennia: Exploring Geographic Patterns and Climatic Forcing
Collab. Research: Decadal Scale Patterns in Hurricane Activity Over the Last Several Millennia: Exploring Geographic Patterns and Climatic Forcing
批准号:
0903020
负责人:
Jeffrey Donnelly
金额:
$25.27万
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
2009
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2009-09-15 至 2012-08-31
中文摘要
PI的资金用于研究沿海屏障后池塘和位于马萨诸塞州科德角、佛罗里达州阿帕拉奇湾和加勒比海格林纳达三个不同地点的沉降孔,以重建晚全新世飓风频率记录。他们还将使用风暴潮模型来检查飓风引起的沉积的空间和时间模式的重要性,并测试潜在的气候强迫。波多黎各早先的数据表明了飓风频率的具体趋势,例如,过去300年间飓风登陆的增加。更好地了解飓风登陆统计的长期趋势对于了解飓风的社会经济影响和未来的预测是重要的。这项研究的广泛影响是强烈的:重建研究地区飓风频率/强度的历史,对气候建模和海岸带管理具有重要影响。研究生支持也包括在内。
英文摘要
The PI's are funded to study high-sedimentation rate cores from coastal back-barrier ponds and sink holes at three different sites on Cape Cod, Massachusetts, Apalachee Bay, Florida, and Grenada in the Caribbean to reconstruct a late Holocene hurricane frequency record. They will also use storm-surge models to examine the significance spatial and temporal patterns in hurricane-induced deposition and test potential climate forcing. Earlier data from Puerto Rico suggests specific trends in hurricane frequency, e.g., an increase in hurricane landfall during the past 300 years. Improving understanding of long-term trends in hurricane landfall statistics is important for understanding the socioeconomic impacts of hurricanes and future projections.Broader impacts of the study are strong: reconstructing the history of hurricane frequency/intensity in the study area with important implications for climate modeling and coastal zone management. Graduate student support is also included.
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