Doctoral Dissertation Research: Accountability in Rebel Regimes

该项目调查了内战期间反叛组织控制地区的地方治理和法律秩序体系的建立。该项目特别解释了反叛组织在提供公共产品和服务方面的差异，以及它们为控制领土而对平民使用强制性暴力。在现有研究的基础上，本文探讨了民间政治动员和集体行动对反叛组织的约束，提出了反叛治理的政治问责理论。有更强协调能力的平民社区，有能力在分配冲突的情况下实现为共同利益服务的集体行动，很可能在控制反叛行为方面更成功。政治问责框架确定了有利于叛军问责的条件，以及叛军控制下的平民可以利用的政治参与工具。调查结果为政策制定者提供了一个明确的路线图，指导他们如何加强与受战争影响社区的联系。这一理论在菲律宾棉兰老岛受叛乱影响地区的定性和定量社区一级证据的组合上得到检验。定性案例比较选择城市的协调能力变化，自变量，并使用半结构化访谈“过程追踪”社区集体行动和反叛行为之间的联系。定量分析审查了将在棉兰老岛北部和中部对受叛乱影响的城市进行的原始调查。研究结果将对有关叛乱行为以及反叛乱和建设和平战略的有效性的学术和政策辩论产生影响。调查在内战期间国家主权暂时崩溃的情况下法律和秩序的形成，为诊断战略和战术反叛乱挑战提供了明确和一致的标准，并了解这些条件在给定战区内不同地点的变化。

The project investigates local governance and the establishment of law-like systems of order in territory controlled by rebel organizations during civil war. In particular, the project explains variation in rebel organizations' provision of public goods and services as well as their use of coercive violence against civilians to control territory. Departing from existing research, the argument examines civilian political mobilization and collective action to constrain rebel organizations, advancing a political accountability theory of rebel governance. Civilian communities with greater coordination capacity, the ability to achieve collective action to serve common interests despite distributional conflict, may well be more successful in controlling rebel behavior. The political accountability framework identifies the conditions conducive to rebel accountability and the tools of political participation available to civilians under rebel control. The result provides policymakers with a clear roadmap for how to strengthen and engage with war-affected communities. This theory is tested on a combination of qualitative and quantitative community-level evidence from insurgent-influenced areas in Mindanao, Philippines. The qualitative case comparison selects municipalities for variation in coordination capacity, the independent variable, and uses semi-structured interviews to "process trace" the link between community collective action and rebel behavior. The quantitative analysis examines an original survey of insurgent-influenced municipalities to be implemented in Northern and Central Mindanao. The findings will carry implications for academic and policy debates regarding the conduct of insurgency and the efficacy of counterinsurgency and peacebuilding strategies. Investigating the formation of law and order under the temporary breakdown of state sovereignty during civil war provides clear and consistent criteria for diagnosing strategic and tactical counterinsurgency challenges and an understanding how these conditions vary across locations within a given war zone.