RAPID: Re-developing Puerto Rico's Electric System for Infrastructure Integrity

波多黎各(PR)面临着飓风和地震的持续威胁，需要能够承受此类事件并从这些事件中恢复的电力基础设施。这种能力被定义为基础设施完整性(Ii)：基础设施的能力：可靠(保持服务可用性)、灵活(快速响应需求变化)、弹性(使用运营措施将极端事件的恢复对服务成本的影响降至最低)和适应性(投资使基础设施适应不断变化的未来，以提供持续的低成本服务)。公关是公用事业公司面临选择的一个极端例子，要么是因为自然灾害，要么是因为老化的基础设施、能源市场和配电智能电网机会为公用事业公司在输电、配电、中央或分布式发电以及智能电网运营方面的资本投资提供了更多(也可能是相互冲突的)选择。该项目在一年的时间里有四个阶段：1)确定在公共关系中提供持续、低成本电力能源服务的主要威胁，以及此类事件发生后恢复电力能源服务的主要障碍；2)提出加强基础设施完整性的五个愿景，并确定每个愿景的优缺点；3)根据行业小组对每个愿景的优缺点的辩论，对这些愿景进行批评和修订；4)模拟每个愿景的经济、基础设施完整性和环境可持续性。最终报告将总结工作，并提出推进其中一个或多个愿景的建议。该项目的优势来自1)我们团队之前为代表美国大陆的大型公用事业公司模拟基础设施改善以提高完整性的同行评议工作；2)我们的专家--公关和美国大陆的研究教授、所有行业的公用事业公司和咨询工程师，在发电、输电、配电和负载侧基础设施投资方面拥有长期经验，他们都研究并面对投资选择，以满足基础设施完整性；3)对电力系统基础设施的灾难性影响开展深入的“实地”研究，并采取创新办法，为今后的此类活动加强基础设施的完整性。这一愿景的开发和审查可以复制到不同规模的其他公用事业公司，为基础设施投资提供路线图。

Puerto Rico (PR) faces ongoing threats from hurricanes and earthquakes, and needs power infrastructure able to withstand and recover from such events. This capability is defined as Infrastructure integrity (II): the ability of infrastructure to be reliable (maintain service availability), flexible (respond quickly to changes in demand), resilient (use operational measures to minimize service cost impact for recovery from extreme events), and adaptable (invest to adapt infrastructure to changing futures to provide continuous low-cost services). PR is an extreme example of the choices facing utilities, either because of natural disasters, or because aging infrastructure, energy markets and distribution smart grid opportunities present utilities with more (and possibly conflicting) choices for capital investments in transmission, distribution, central or distributed generation, as well as smart grid operation. The project has four stages over one year to: 1) Identify main threats to providing continuous, low-cost electric energy services in PR and the primary impediments to restoring electric energy services following occurrence of such events; 2) provide five visions for enhancement of infrastructure integrity, and identify strengths and weaknesses of each; 3) critique and revise the visions based on industry panel debates on strengths and weaknesses of each vision; 4) simulate the economics, infrastructure integrity and environmental sustainability of each vision. The final report will summarize the work and provide a recommendation to move forward with one or a combination of the visions.The project's strength comes from 1) our team's previous peer-reviewed work simulating infrastructure improvements for greater integrity on behalf of large utilities in the continental US; 2) our experts-- research professors, utilities from all sectors, and consulting engineers, in PR and in the continental US, with long experience in generation, transmission, distribution, and load-side infrastructure investment, all of whom study and confront choices in investment to satisfy Infrastructure Integrity; 3) development of an in-depth "on-the-ground" study of a catastrophic impact on electric systems infrastructure and innovative approaches to enhance infrastructure integrity for future such events. The development and vetting of this vision can be replicated for other utilities at different scales, providing a roadmap for infrastructure investment.