Outcomes of collective action: After the blockade, what next?

该项目旨在研究当传统或激进的集体行动成功或失败时，集体行动者如何反应。如果民主抗议集会被当局忽视，对暴力的支持是否会增加？如果一场动荡的骚乱吸引了有利的媒体关注和让步，这是否会增加未来骚乱的可能性或削弱他们？本项目旨在回答这些问题。它计划使用包括实验、小组研究和纵向实地调查在内的混合方法，测试一个新的、理论上综合的集体行动和群体间动态模型。项目成果可以为政策制定者关于激进化和去激进化轨迹的辩论提供证据基础，并为活动家，政党和非政府组织的参与和谈判策略提供建议。

The project intends to study how collective actors react when conventional or radical collective action succeeds or fails. If a democratic protest rally is ignored by authorities, does support for violence increase? If a turbulent riot attracts favourable media attention and concessions, does this increase the likelihood of future riots or undercut them? This project aims to answer these questions. It plans to test a new, theoretically integrative model of collective action and the intergroup dynamic, using a mixed-methods approach including experiments, small group research and longitudinal field surveys. Project outcomes may provide an evidence basis for policy-makers' debates about trajectories of radicalisation and deradicalisation, and for recommendations about engagement and negotiation of tactics for activists, political parties, and nongovernment organisations.