Modeling dyadic decision-making processes of regional mobility and their labour market outcomes

本研究项目的目的是模拟区域流动的决策过程及其劳动力市场结果。起点是假设调动决定不是孤立地作出的，而是谈判进程的结果，这一进程嵌入了各自的区域和伙伴关系背景。因此，移民决策是从多层次的解释和多个决策阶段的二元视角进行建模的。通过以具有多层次结构的多变量非线性概率模型的形式正式实施空间流动的决策过程，可以模拟与外生迁移决定因素的多层次特征(个人、家庭和背景水平)相关的不同的二元性决策过程。因此，在先前的研究中已经确定的空间流动性决策的不同特征可以在单个模型中同时估计。由于特定于参与者的流动性倾向和相互流动性决策之间的区别，我们能够考虑二元交互以及所包括的参与者的相对决策权重。因此，有可能纳入导致决定本身的社会过程。此外，我们能够通过对特定于行动者的流动性倾向的语境效应和个体-语境交互作用的估计，将当地机会结构的复杂机制纳入多个行动者的决策过程。在研究项目的第二部分，我们考察了区域流动的劳动力市场结果。在这里，我们能够对异类移动代理的潜在变化的流动性后果进行建模，因为劳动力市场资源中特定于参与者的差异和对特定于参与者的区域本地化的考虑之间存在明显的区别。因此，可以确定关键的个体星座和背景星座，这决定了区域流动性的利润水平，从而定位了经济上不同的移动代理成功群体。社会经济小组(社会经济小组)为使用小规模结构特征(社会经济小组地理数据)的经验性实施提供了基础。

Purpose of this research project is the modelling of decision-making processes of regional mobility and their labour market outcomes. The starting point is the assumption that mobility decisions are not made in isolation, but are the result of a bargaining process, which is embedded in the respective regional as well as partnership context. Consequently, the decision to migrate is modelled from a dyadic perspective with multiple levels of explanation as well as multiple decision stages. Through the formal implementation of the decision-making process of spatial mobility in the form of a multivariate non-linear probit model with multilevel structure, it is possible to model the dyadic decision-making process differentiated in relation to the multi-level character (individual, household, and contextual level) of the exogenous migration determinants. As a result, the diverse characteristics of spatial mobility decisions, which have been identified in previous research, can be simultaneously estimated in a single model. Because of the distinction between actor-specific mobility dispositions and the mutual mobility decision, we are able to consider dyadic interactions as well as relative decision weights of the included actors. Therefore it is possible to incorporate the social process, which leads to the decision itself. Furthermore we are able to incorporate the complex mechanisms of local opportunity structures in the decision-making process of multiple actors through the estimation of contextual effects and individual-context interactions on the actor-specific mobility dispositions. In the second part of the research project, we inspect the labor-market outcomes of regional mobility. Here we are able to model the potentially varying mobility consequences of heterogeneous mobile agents because of the explicit distinction between actor-specific differences in labour market resources and the consideration of the actor-specific regional localization. As a result, it is possible to identify the key individual and context constellations, which determine the profit level of regional mobility and thus locate economically diverse successful groups of mobile agents. The Socio- Economic Panel (SOEP) provides the basis for the empirical implementations using small-scale structural features (SOEP geodata).