Sudden Revolution or Long Turn? A Sociological Analysis of die GDR and its Decline using Eingabenstatistiken between 1970 and 1989.

很大一部分德意志民主共和国公民长期对本国的生活条件不满意。然而，/90的革命让大多数人感到惊讶。在科学界，也有一种观点认为，1989-90年是自发发生的。但这种程度的社会变化通常是基于长期的过程。由于到目前为止，这些长期过程还没有通过定量的实证社会研究手段进行研究，因此“自发革命或长期转向”项目于2014年11月开始对其进行研究。该项目汇编了“波茨坦申诉统计档案”，其中载有1970年至1989年期间申诉频率的行政数据。使用PGSF，该项目研究了生活质量、参与度和价值取向的演变，并将这些演变与1989/90年的事件联系起来。除了对民主德国垮台的替代理论进行研究外，该项目还改善了民主德国有问题的数据状况。PGSF扩展了定量描述民主德国社会的可能性，例如在社会不平等、教育或犯罪等研究领域。该项目的延期有三个目标。首先是用迄今无法添加到数据中的信息来丰富PGSF。第二个目标是完成对由于前一个项目的数据收集阶段的意外问题而延迟的PGSF的分析。拟议的文件审查了生活质量、参与度和价值取向的变化是否以及如何促成了1989/90年民主德国的垮台。第三，该项目提议对前民主德国公民进行一次调查，以收集关于个人申诉行为的追溯资料。这些个人数据对于调查民主德国公民在什么情况下使用Eingaben作为与政权沟通的工具是必要的。此外，这些数据将简化对Eingabewesen的负担和限制的分析。这一步骤是与德国经济研究所(DIW)合作组织的。这保证了获得德国社会经济小组(SOEP)的样本C，该样本是为我们的目的而精心设计的。最重要的是，它在高数据质量和成本方面提供了一个合理的折衷。

A large proportion of the GDR citizens were dissatisfied with the living conditions in their country for a long time period. Nevertheless, the revolution of 1989/90 came as a surprise to the majority. In science, too, the opinion has been held that 1989/90 happened spontaneously. But societal changes of such extent are generally based on long-term processes. As these long-term processes have not been studied so far by means of quantitative empirical social research, the project "Spontaneous Revolution or Long Turn" started to examine them in November 2014. The project compiled the "Potsdam Grievance Statistics File" containing administrative data about the frequencies of grievances between 1970 and 1989. Using the PGSF the project studies evolutions in quality of life, participation and value orientations, and links these evolutions to the events of 1989/90. In addition to the study of alternative theories on the downfall of the GDR the project has improved the problematic data situation of the GDR. The PGSF expands possibilities for quantitative descriptions of the GDR society, for example in research fields like social inequality, education or delinquency. The extension of the project has three goals. The first is to enrich the PGSF with information that could not been added to the data so far. The second goal is to finalize analyses of the PGSF delayed due to unexpected problems in the data collection phase of the previous project. The proposed papers examine, if and how changes in quality of life, participation and in value orientations contribute to the downfall of the GDR in 1989/90. Thirdly the project proposes a survey of former GDR citizens to collect retrospective information on individual grievance behaviour. The individual data is necessary to investigate under which circumstances GDR citizens used Eingaben as an instrument to communicate with the regime. Furthermore the data will ease analyses about burdens and restrictions of the Eingabewesen. This step is organized in cooperation with the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW). This guarantees access to the sample C of the German Socio Economic Panel (SOEP), which is well designed for our purposes. Above all, it offers a reasonable compromise between high data quality and cost aspects.