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Has rainfall become more variable or extreme?

Has rainfall become more variable or extreme?
降雨量是否变得更加多变或极端?
批准号:
DP160103439
负责人:
Prof Lisa Alexander
金额:
$23.76万
依托单位国家:
澳大利亚
项目类别:
Discovery Projects
财政年份:
2016
资助国家:
澳大利亚
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2016-01-01 至 2019-06-30

项目摘要

项目成果

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中文摘要
翻译
全球日降雨量的趋势和变化是不确定的。通过解决数据缺陷和观测与模型之间存在的比例问题,该项目旨在对陆地日降雨量的变异性和趋势进行第一次有良好约束的长期评估。对所得数据进行极值分析,将使人们能够在前所未有的大范围内探索极端降雨量对网格分辨率、内插方法和操作顺序的敏感性。归根结底,这意味着可以针对可能导致洪水的事件类型计算出改进的重现期估计。了解下雨的方式、地点和原因,对于我们的规划者和政策制定者做出正确的决定至关重要。
英文摘要
The trends and variability of global daily rainfall are uncertain. By tackling data shortcomings and the scaling issues that exist between observations and models, this project aims to produce the first well-constrained long-term assessment of the variability and trends in daily rainfall over land. Using extreme value analysis on the resulting data would allow the exploration of the sensitivity of rainfall extremes to grid resolution, interpolation method and order of operation on an unprecedented grand scale. Ultimately, this means that improved return period estimates could be calculated for the types of events that could lead to flooding. Understanding how, where and why it rains is vital for enabling sound decisions to be made by our planners and policy-makers.
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Do regional climate models rain too much?
  • 批准号:
    FT210100459
  • 项目类别:
    ARC Future Fellowships
  • 资助金额:
    $73.5万
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 负责人:
    Prof Lisa Alexander
  • 依托单位:
Transforming our research capacity in the analysis of climate extremes
  • 批准号:
    LP100200690
  • 项目类别:
    Linkage Projects
  • 资助金额:
    $20.88万
  • 财政年份:
    2011
  • 负责人:
    Prof Lisa Alexander
  • 依托单位:
海外基金