Toward a Politico-Economic System of an Ecological Society : Sustainable Economic Development and International Economic Relations

1.中国经济与环境：计量经济分析在研究的第一阶段，建立了中国经济的宏观计量模型，以预测中国经济的能源平衡。然后，利用中国和东亚其他国家的面板数据，估算了中国能源消耗与NOx、SOx和CO2排放的关系。从这些研究的结果中，定量地确定了在中国工业中安装脱硫脱氮设备的重要性。我们的结论是，日本在这一领域的援助将大大有助于缓解中国和全世界的环境恶化。日本经济与环境：I-O分析通过对日本时间序列I-O表的分析，我们发现以下事实：1970年至1985年，日本经济减少了空气污染物的排放。1985年，趋势发生了相反的变化：自那以后，其生产结构对环境的危害越来越大。自1985年以来，从亚洲国家进口的增加也越来越清楚地表明，从亚洲国家进口的增加起到了减少日本经济环境负荷的作用。这一现象可能被解读为日本经济一直在将其对环境有害的活动转移到亚洲国家。

1. Chinese Economy and Environment : An Econometric AnalysisIn the first stage of the research, a macro econometric model of Chinese economy was built to forecast its energy balance. Then, relations between energy consumption and emission of NOx, SOx, and CO_2 in China were estimated, using panel data of Chinese and other East Asian Countries. From the results of those studies, the importance of installing de-sulfur and de-nitrogen equipment in the Chinese industry was identified quantitatively. We concluded that Japan's assistance in the field will contribute substantially to alleviate environmental deterioration in China and in the whole World.2. Japanese Economy and Environment : An I-O AnalysisWe founded the following facts from analysis of the time series I-O Tables of Japan.The Japanese economy had reduced in emission of air pollutants from 1970 to 1985.In 1985 the trend has changed in the opposite direction : since then, its production structure has been going to be more environmentally harmful.Since 1985 it has been more and more clear as well that increases in import from Asian countries have acted as a factor of reducing environmental load of the Japanese economy. The phenomenon may be interpreted as that the Japanese economy has been shifting its environmentally hazardous activities to Asian countries.