Identifying how a non-stationary environment affects species persistence

该项目旨在实现新生态理论的首次应用，该理论解释了环境变化和物种对这种变化的反应能力，并以在河流岩石上产卵的地虱为例进行了研究。长期气候变化一直存在，但在估计未来种群规模和物种灭绝风险时往往没有考虑到气候变化。结果将包括关于栖息地可用性变化的新知识，物种在景观中移动和成功产卵和孵化的能力，同时为其他物种创建一个通用模板。通过将该模板纳入公认的灭绝评估协议，这将为世界范围内的保护工作带来重大利益。

This project aims to achieve the first application of new ecological theory that accounts for environmental change and species’ ability to respond to that change, using caddisflies that lay eggs on rocks in rivers as a case study. Long-term change in climate has always occurred but is often not accounted for when estimating future population sizes and extinction risk in species. Outcomes will include new knowledge on changing habitat availability, species’ ability to move in the landscape and successfully lay and hatch eggs, while creating a general template for use in other species. This will lead to significant benefits for conservation efforts worldwide, via the template’s inclusion in accepted extinction assessment protocols.