Development of Systems Methodology for Decision Support of Design of Performance Evaluation System

考虑到组织各成员特征因素的不确定性，提出了基于智能体模型的社会模拟方法，该模型体现了不确定性对组织、成员特征结构及其作用机制的影响。我们特别建议使用“可能结果的图景”的分析技术，可以忽略不确定性对每个工作绩效评估系统效果的影响。此外，针对模型不能完全表达的本质不确定性，我们开发了一种将基于代理的模型转换为博弈模型的转换协议，该协议吸收了基于代理的模型的不确定性，该协议可以起到一种参与式的方法论作用，以促进涉及问题情况的管理者的接受。

Paying attention to the uncertainty of the factor about the characteristic of each member of the organization, we developed the method of the social simulation using the agent-based model that represents the influence of uncertainty to the organization, the member characteristic structure and its mechanism. We suggested in particular the analysis technique using "the landscape of the possible outcomes" that could overlook the influence that uncertainty gave for each job performance evaluation system effect. In addition, being focused on the essential uncertainty that the model could not express completely, we developed a transformation protocol for the conversion of the agent-based model to a gaming model which took in uncertainty from the agent-based model, the protocol which can plays a participative methodology to promote the acceptance to managers involved in problematic situations.