Analyzing Epistemic Structures of Interactive Decision-Making by Testable Models

首先，根据计划，今年的计划正在进行中：我和法比奥·马切罗尼(Bocconi U)完成了一篇关于量子均衡的认知基础的论文，该论文为种群行为提供了一个经验性的可测试性质。我们已经提交了论文。第二，我和早稻田的Tomoo Kikuchi(早稻田U)完成了关于超级大国之间的霸权和竞争的论文，在此基础上可以进行数据模拟，并对范式转变进行预测。范式转换的研究在文献中很少，但迫切相关，为整合各种模型(包括认知型GT)提供了巨大的空间。我们已经提交了论文。我们现在正在将该模型扩展到主导货币的转变中。

First, the year’s plan is on progress according to the plan: I and Fabio Maccheroni (Bocconi U) had finished a paper on the epistemic foundation for quantal equilibrium, which provides an empirically testable property of population behavior. We have submitted the paper.Second, Tomoo Kikuchi (Waseda U) and I had finished the paper on hegemony and competition between superpowers based on which a data simulation could be run and predictions bout paradigm shift could be made. The study of paradigm shift is rare in the literature but urgently relevant, providing huge rooms for integrating various models (including epistemic GT). We have submitted the paper. We are now extending the model into dominant currency shift.