Collaborator-designed agent-based models to inform alcohol-involved sexual violence prevention on college campuses.

项目摘要 尽管在过去的十年里，人们越来越关注酒精引起的性暴力，但与酒精有关的性暴力仍然普遍存在 在大学校园里。现有干预措施，包括旁观者培训、教育方案和简报 干预措施，采取基本上全球性的办法来预防有害饮酒和性暴力， 而且在很大程度上忽视了饮酒发生的社会和情景背景。校园的一种组合 可能需要政策、行为干预和社区级别的干预来解决这一复杂的问题 有问题。与酒精有关的性暴力可以被概念化为一个具有反馈循环的系统 各种个体层面的行为，以及上下文和行为之间的行为。基于代理的模型(ABM)包括 一种方法论工具，可以结合行为、社会和结构环境之间的动态 以及它们对危险饮酒和性暴力的影响。它们可以用来模拟 在广泛的大学校园和人群中实施干预(S)。的用处 然而，给定的ABM受到其准确性、重点和对最终用户的重要性的限制。利益相关者参与 模型构建过程极大地增强了模型的相关性和有用性，这些模型明确地解释了 动态过程。该提案的总体目标是创建一个由利益相关者设计的、能够服务于 作为一个决策支持工具，帮助校园减少学生中与酒精有关的性暴力。至 为了实现这一目标，我们将首先开发一个由利益相关者设计的危险饮酒、SV和 通过一系列利益相关者参与的模式建设为大学校园提供干预机会 由核心建模团队指导的会议(目标1)。我们将利用校园的学习协作 利益相关者包括学生、健康和咨询中心的从业者、第九章协调员、 住宿顾问，等等，来自正在进行的涉及28所大学校园的酒精参与的SV RCT 在宾夕法尼亚州和西弗吉尼亚州招聘60名学生和非学生利益相关者专家至6名利益相关者 模型建筑组。然后，综合系统模型将转化为酒精使用的ABM，并 使用ABM平台的性暴力，该平台具有现实的合成人口，提供人口 基于社区的模拟的基础(重建流行病学动态的框架 (弗雷德))(目标2)。然后我们将制定和评估利益相关者知情的ABM的初步可行性- 基于决策支持工具，优化校园干预措施以减少酒精相关的性暴力 (探索性目标3)。这种创新的、基于经验的方法，使用利益相关者参与的建模来 设计了一个基于ABM和ABM的决策支持工具，可以指导校园级的政策和规划 变化，导致改进实施有效战略，以解决与酒精有关的性行为 暴力，在学生中推广预防战略，并刺激校园层面的政策变化。

PROJECT ABSTRACT Despite increased attention over the past decade, alcohol-involved sexual violence continues to be widespread on college campuses. Existing interventions, which include bystander training, education programs, and brief interventions, take an essentially global approach to the prevention of harmful alcohol use and sexual violence, and largely neglect the social and situational contexts in which drinking occurs. A combination of campus policies, behavioral interventions, and community-level interventions are likely needed to address this complex problem. Alcohol-involved sexual violence can be conceptualized as a system with feedback loops between various individual-level behaviors as well as between contexts and behaviors. Agent-based models (ABMs) are a methodological tool that can incorporate dynamics between behavioral, social, and structural environments and their impacts on hazardous alcohol use and sexual violence. They can be used to simulate the implementation of intervention(s) across a wide range of college campuses and populations. The usefulness of a given ABM, however, is limited by its accuracy, focus, and salience to end users. A stakeholder-engaged model-building process greatly enhances the relevance and usefulness of models that explicitly account for dynamic processes. The overall goal of this proposal is to create a stakeholder-designed ABM that can serve as a decision support tool to help campuses reduce alcohol-involved sexual violence among students. To achieve this goal, we will first develop a stakeholder-designed systems model of hazardous drinking, SV, and intervention opportunities on college campuses through a series of stakeholder-engaged model building sessions guided by a Core Modeling Team (Aim 1). We will leverage a learning collaborative of campus stakeholders including students, practitioners from health and counseling centers, Title IX coordinators, residential counselors, and so forth, from an ongoing alcohol-involved SV RCT involving 28 college campuses in Pennsylvania and West Virginia to recruit 60 student and non-student stakeholder experts to 6 stakeholder model building groups. The integrated systems model will be then translated into an ABM of alcohol use and sexual violence using an ABM platform with realistic synthetic populations that provides a population foundation for community-based simulations (The Framework for Reconstructing Epidemiologic Dynamics (FRED)) (Aim 2). We will then develop and assess the preliminary feasibility of stakeholder-informed, ABM- based decision support tools to optimize campus interventions to reduce alcohol-involved sexual violence (Exploratory Aim 3). This innovative, empirically-based approach, using stakeholder-engaged modeling to design an ABM and ABM-based decision support tools, can guide campus-level policy and programmatic changes, leading to improved implementation of effective strategies to address alcohol-involved sexual violence, promote prevention strategies among students, and stimulate campus-level policy changes.