New methods for modelling complex trends in climate and energy time series

该项目旨在通过推动量化能源生产、排放和气候之间的关系的方法，以及评估与改变经济体生产和使用能源的方式相关的实际和金融风险，为澳大利亚和国际上控制排放的努力做出贡献。该项目是跨学科的，预计将在能源和气候计量学领域发展新知识。该项目的预期成果是对具有复杂趋势的变量进行建模的新方法，以及学习其他国家的政策经验的创新的数据驱动方法。在气候变化时代，这应该会带来显著的好处，使基于证据的政策制定成为可能。

The project aims to contribute to Australian and international efforts on emission control by advancing the methods for quantifying the relationships between energy production, emission and climate, and assessing the real and financial risks associated with changing the ways in which economies produce and use energy. The project is interdisciplinary and expects to develop new knowledge in the areas of energy and climate econometrics. The anticipated outcomes of this project are new methods for modelling variables with complex trends, and an innovative data-driven approach for learning from policy experiences of other countries. This should provide significant benefits by enabling evidence-based policy making in the era of climate change.