Intense thunderstorms in the tropics and subtropics under global warming

该项目旨在确定强烈热带和亚热带雷暴的频率将如何随着未来全球变暖而变化。气候模式预估，未来可用于此类风暴的能量将会增加，但可用于此类风暴的能量增加的原因以及对雷暴活动的影响仍不确定。通过观测和高分辨率模型，该项目希望获得气候变化下驱动强雷暴活动变化机制的新知识，并对气候变暖时强雷暴的频率提供更准确的预测。该项目将为农业和交通运输等经济部门带来好处，因为这些部门极易受到此类危害的影响。

This project aims to determine how the frequency of intense tropical and subtropical thunderstorms will change as a result of future global warming. Climate models project that the energy available to such storms will increase in the future, but the reasons for this increase in available energy, and the implications for thunderstorm activity, remain uncertain. Using observations and high-resolution models, the project expects to generate new knowledge of the mechanisms driving changes in intense thunderstorm activity under climate change, and to provide more accurate projections of the frequency of intense thunderstorms in a warmer climate. This project should deliver benefits to sectors of the economy such as agriculture and transportation, which are significantly exposed to such hazards.