Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy

CCCEP成立于2008年10月，目的是通过严谨、创新的研究推动公共和私营部门应对气候变化的行动。尽管我们的大部分研究仍在进行中，但我们已经做出了几项重大学术贡献：-提高对气候模型不确定性的理解，开发最先进的不确定性下决策的经济模型并将其应用于气候变化，以及探索参与性评估/建模的新方法。-探索达成全球气候协议的不同途径和国家治理的替代方案，始终强调机构的作用。-增进对气候友好的发展形式的潜力的知识，以及对发展友好的适应形式。我们提出了确定适应优先事项的新的综合方法，包括“脆弱性热点”。-对低碳经济的干预措施进行跨学科研究，包括对现有政策的影响进行强有力的计量经济学评估，对连接理论和实践的碳市场进行分析，并审查国家和市场的作用。-开发新的方法，弥合宏观模拟模拟和微观具体背景方法之间的差距。为了建设研究能力，我们加强了关键学科与气候辩论之间的联系，培训了50多名博士生，并在所有级别提供了新的大学课程。我们积极与研究过程各个阶段的主要决策者接触，在高级别影响联合国气候谈判，与世界银行和其他国际组织密切合作，在关键问题上大力参与英国气候政策，如第四次法定碳预算，影响许多其他国家的政策制定，并与私人决策者接触，例如通过我们与慕尼黑再保险的合作。我们还获得了约2800万英镑的杠杆资金。广泛的磋商强调了解决金融危机/经济衰退、持续缺乏全面的国际气候条约以及最近关于气候科学的争议的必要性。他们强调需要对气候研究采取更综合的方法，继续在其他气候研究的背景下作出独特贡献，并为ESRC战略优先事项作出贡献。我们第二阶段的五个研究主题是：1.理解绿色增长和气候兼容发展：工业化国家和发展中国家的绿色增长或气候兼容发展可以是什么？2.促进气候融资和投资：我们如何在不同的背景下释放主要资金流入适应和缓解？这种流动的影响是什么？3.评估气候政策的绩效：我们如何评估不同气候政策的绩效，以及我们如何了解政策学习的范围？4.管理气候风险和不确定性并加强气候服务：我们如何促进评估、管理和沟通气候风险/不确定性的新方法？5.实现缓解和适应方面的快速转变：我们如何了解快速转变的范围，以大幅削减排放并适应重大气候变化？在计划的科学计划之外，我们提议设立CCCEP创新基金，目的是刺激、发展和传播学术界和实践界的创新想法。我们第二阶段的计划建立在第一阶段坚实的制度基础上，包括CCCEP在伦敦政治经济学院/利兹的地位、其管理结构和主要员工。然而，我们也计划更新团队。我们将在整个研究过程中继续与关键利益攸关方接触，并利用一系列途径产生影响。

CCCEP was established in October 2008 with the aim of advancing public and private action on climate change through rigorous, innovative research. Even though much of our research is ongoing, we have made several major academic contributions:- Improving understanding of the uncertainties in climate models, developing state-of-the-art economic models of decision-making under uncertainty and applying them to climate change, and pursuing novel methods of participatory assessment/modelling.- Exploring different routes to a global climate agreement and alternatives to state-based governance, all the time emphasising the role of institutions.- Advancing knowledge on the potential for climate-friendly forms of development, and development-friendly forms of adaptation. We have advanced new integrated methodologies for identifying adaptation priorities, including 'vulnerability hotspots'.- Conducting interdisciplinary research on interventions towards a low-carbon economy, including robust econometric evaluation of the impacts of existing policies, analysis of carbon markets that bridges theory and practice, and an examination of the roles of states and markets.- Developing new methodologies bridging the gap between macro-scale simulation modelling and micro-scale, context-specific approaches.To build research capacity, we have strengthened the links between key disciplines and the climate debate, trained over 50 PhD students and provided new university courses at all levels. We have actively engaged with key decision-makers at all stages of the research process, influencing the UN climate negotiations at a high level, working closely with the World Bank and other international organisations, engaging heavily in UK climate policy on critical issues such as the fourth statutory carbon budget, impacting on policy-making in many other countries and engaging with private decision-makers, e.g. through our collaboration with Munich Re. We have also secured c. £28 million in leveraged funding.Extensive consultations have highlighted the need to address the financial crisis/downturn, the continuing absence of a comprehensive international climate treaty, and recent controversies on climate science. They have stressed the need for more integrated approaches to climate research, to continue making a distinctive contribution in the context of other climate research, and to contribute to ESRC Strategic Priorities. Our five research themes for Phase Two are:1. Understanding green growth and climate-compatible development: what could constitute green growth or climate-compatible development in industrialised and developing countries?2. Advancing climate finance and investment: how can we unlock major flows of finance into both adaptation and mitigation in different contexts? What are the implications of such flows?3. Evaluating the performance of climate policies: how can we assess the performance of different climate policies and how can we understand the scope for policy learning?4. Managing climate risks and uncertainties and strengthening climate services: how can we promote new approaches to the assessment, management and communication of climate risks/uncertainties?5. Enabling rapid transitions in mitigation and adaptation: how can we understand the scope for rapid transitions to dramatically cut emissions and adapt to significant climate change?Beyond the planned scientific programme, we propose to a CCCEP Innovation Fund with the aim of stimulating, developing and disseminating innovative ideas from both the academic and practitioner communities.Our plans for Phase Two build on the solid institutional foundations of Phase One, including CCCEP's position at LSE/Leeds, its management structure and its key staff. However, we also plan to refresh the team. We will continue to engage with key stakeholders throughout the research process and to exploit a range of pathways to impact.