Evaluating the long-term impact of Release on Temporary License (ROTL)

临时许可证释放(ROTL)为目前在监狱中的符合条件的人提供了通过日间或夜间释放为在社区重新安置做准备的机会。从长远来看，ROTL的预期影响是减少再犯罪。关于ROTL影响的最新研究使用了2012/2013年的数据，并着眼于释放后一年的再犯罪结果。自2012/2013年以来，ROTL政策发生了变化，目前还没有关于ROTL长期影响的研究发表。通过数据优先方案可获得行政数据，该方案提供了一个机会，以探讨目前在了解禁烟和禁烟政策的影响方面的差距，以及禁烟政策的变化从长期来看可能如何影响再犯罪。将与司法部、HM监狱和缓刑服务局、英国国家统计和行政数据研究办公室合作，在由刑事司法组织代表组成的用户代表小组的咨询下，设计对ROTL的评估。评价将提供关于使用ROTL的人的特征以及政策的变化是否影响谁获得ROTL的信息。对2014-2021年行政数据的分析将用于了解使用ROTL的频率和目的、ROTL是否影响召回和再犯罪的风险以及ROTL与释放后结果之间的因果关系。在整个评估过程中，将探讨是否有可能和需要更广泛的罪犯特征(如精神健康状况)和释放后结果(如就业、住房和精神健康服务使用情况)的数据。了解ROTL的长期影响将有助于理解有效地从拘留过渡和重新安置到社区。这些调查结果将与监狱和缓刑工作人员讨论，他们使用ROTL政策来考虑评估结果的实际影响，并将反馈给司法部，后者可以利用这些调查结果为未来的ROTL政策提供信息。确保使用广泛的数据，如有关精神健康和就业的信息，将使人们能够更全面地了解ROTL可能产生的潜在影响。评估将有助于理解在司法部和更广泛的范围内使用行政数据评估政策的效用、好处和局限性。

Release on temporary licence (ROTL) provides eligible people currently in prison the opportunity to prepare for resettlement in the community through day or overnight release. The intended impact of ROTL is to reduce reoffending in the long-term. The most recent research on the impact of ROTL used data from 2012/2013 and looked at reoffending outcomes for one-year post release. ROTL policy has changed since 2012/2013 and there is currently no research published on the long-term impact of ROTL. Administrative data is available through the Data First programme which provides an opportunity to explore the current gap in understanding the impact of ROTL and how changes in ROTL policy may have influenced reoffending in the long-term. An evaluation of ROTL will be designed in partnership with the Ministry of Justice, HM Prison and Probation Service, the Office for National Statistics and Administrative Data Research UK with consultation from a user representation panel comprised of representatives from criminal justice organisations. The evaluation will provide information on the characteristics of people using ROTL and whether changes in policy influences who is granted ROTL. Analysis of administrative data from 2014 - 2021 will be used to understand how often and for what purposes ROTL has been used, whether ROTL impacts the risk of recall and reoffending and causal relationships between ROTL and post-release outcomes. The feasibility and need for data on a wider range of offender characteristics (such as mental health status) and post-release outcomes (such as employment, housing, and mental health service use) will be explored throughout the evaluation. Understanding the long-term impact of ROTL will contribute to the understanding of effective transition and resettlement from custody into the community. The findings will be discussed with prison and probation staff who use ROTL policy to consider the practical implications of the evaluation findings and will be fed back to the Ministry of Justice, who can use the findings to inform future ROTL policy. Ensuring a wide range of data is used, such as information regarding mental health and employment, will allow a more holistic understanding of the potential impacts ROTL may have. The evaluation will help understand the utility, benefits, and limitations of using administrative data for evaluating policy in the Ministry of Justice and more widely.